Issues Navigator

Global Challenges

Strategic Regions

Domestic Debates

Tag cloud

See All Tags

1 comment |  Print | E-Mail Best Of Think Tanks  

Afghanistan's Future Depends on Pakistan

Fred Kaplan | Slate | May 2009

The road to more security and stability in Afghanistan runs exclusively through Pakistan. Only if the Pakistani leadership manages to avoid the collapse of political order and the stem the march of the Taliban out of the northwest of the country will peace in Afghanistan have a real chance. US President Obama and his foreign policy team have finally realized this reality. Supporting the Pakistani government in the fight against the Taliban is incrementally becoming their priority. However, the US and Pakistan cannot win this war alone. Only when all relevant actors and their respective regional interests are bundled up into one joint strategy can the conflict on the Afghan-Pakistani border region finally be defused.

The most effective way to support the governments in Islamabad and Kabul lies in meeting the basic needs of the local populations. Among them the most important is security, nutrition and clean drinking water. However, no development agency can operate freely in Afghanistan without personal security personnel. For this reason Barack Obama is seeing to it that troop numbers in Afghanistan are increased. The majority of these troops will be needed on the eastern border to fight insurgents. This battle necessitates close cooperation between US troops and local forces, which should be assisted primarily through logistical support in order to ensure that Afghan units can better guarantee the security of international aid workers. Furthermore, any form of US military presence in Pakistan would be counter-productive. Anti-American sentiment is too deep-seated within the population. In this respect only traditional methods of support remain viable: for the time being Washington can merely deliver money, weapons and handbooks on fighting insurgency and hope that these supplies will be properly utilized by the Pakistani army.

Moreover, the US should - with the support of other political heavyweights such as China, Russia and the EU - ensure that India immediately improves its relations with Pakistan. Between 80 and 90% of Pakistan's troops remain stationed on its border with India. A large portion of the Pakistani military labels India as the greatest threat to the country. Pakistan's Army must, therefore, be convinced that the much greater danger actually lurks in the interior. To this end it is necessary for China and Russia to procure some level of cooperation with Tehran. Iran has concrete interests in stabile relations within Pakistan and is carefully observing the growing power of radical Sunni groups like the Taliban. Before former President Bush had publicly named Iran in the "Axis of Evil" there had been talks between officials in Washington and counterparts in Tehran subsequent to 9/11 in which possible cooperation in the fight against the Taliban was discussed. It is essential to put all these pieces together, if the AfPak puzzle is to be solved in the foreseeable future.

This summary was prepared by the Atlantic Community editorial team from "The AfPak Puzzle. The good news: Obama understands what's wrong in Afghanistan and Pakistan. The bad news: He can't fix it" published here by Slate

 

 
Tags: | ISAF | NATO | Pakistan | Afghanistan |
 
Comments
Malik Tanwir Amjad

Tue, Jun 30th 2009, 19:25

  • 0
  •  
  •  
  • No rating possible
  • No rating possible
I like this comment! What's this?
This is a true fact that history has put Pakistan in an interesting situation where Stability of whole region is linked with stable Pakistan. It doesnt mean that only democracy can guarantee this stability or showering of Dollers and Euros can stabilise Pakistan.

You need to analyse the basic needs of people of Pakistan, which is excess to very basic amenities that are right of every citizen but due to wrong doings of succesive governements in Pakistan, The gap between poor and rich is widening, Local Manufacturing has been on stand still due to various factors, that is resulting in jobless ness, dragging the youth in the hands of criminals, who can have different names, be it Taliban, TNSM, BNM etc etc.

Its the duty of world to help Pakistan by allowing excess to its market on preferential basis so that Pakistan is not a begger country but Its a self standing country, whos youth shall not look for short cuts for money.

It shall be kept in mind that If time is lost, not only South east Asia, but whole world will regret for losing the precious time.
 

Commenting has been deactivated in the archive. We appreciate your comments on our more recent articles at atlantic-community.org


Community

You are in the archive of all articles published on atlantic-community.org from 2007 to 2012. To read the latest articles from our open think tank and network with community members, please go to our new website