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Berlin and Washington Disagree on Russia Policy

Stephen F. Szabo | Washington Quarterly | November 2009

From arms reduction to Afghanistan to Iran, it is in Washington's best interest to ensure cooperation with Moscow on a wide range of issues. Policy-makers in Washington now have to choose between different options for dealing with Moscow: rely on either the EU or on Germany as a focal point for dealing with the Russians, or conduct relations bilaterally.

Washington, however, is unlikely to achieve its goals if it primarily relies on bilateral relations, since the question of Russia's ties to its neighbors forms a major issue in relations. Washington will also run into difficulties if the United States opts for the European Union as a focal point for working with Russia, in view of the lack of unity among the Europeans regarding their Russia policies. Therefore, Washington has no choice but to rely on Berlin. However, U.S. policy makers are uneasy concerning the increasingly close ties between Germany and Russia; especially in the realm of energy policy. Attitudes toward Moscow differ in Washington and Berlin because of contradictory interpretations of the end of the Cold War. The Americans regard the demise of the Soviet Union as a victory of their system, while the Germans regard it as the outcome of years of Détente and German Ostpolitik. Hence, Americans place greater emphasis on the security aspect of their relations with the Kremlin, whereas the Germans are more interested in engaging Russia via greater cooperation. In order for these differences in strategic cultures not to hinder the formation of a coherent policy toward Russia and not to detrimentally affect transatlantic relations, Washington and Berlin need to pay particular attention to certain aspects of their relations:

  • Accept the fact that there are real differences of interests, irrespective of the continued friendship between the U.S. and Germany.
  • Change the rhetoric - both Washington and Berlin need to be more positive in their dealings with Moscow to obtain its cooperation. References to Russia as a weak state incapable of overcoming the legacy of its past are not helpful.
  • Revive the NATO-Russia-Council and form a Russia-contact group on the European level, consisting of Germany, France, and Poland and include the U.S.
  • Avoid unnecessary confrontation - the U.S. should avoid entanglement in the affairs of smaller countries in order to avoid provoking a conflict with Russia. 
  • Refrain from confusing national interests with personal relationships - remember that the interests of the state take precedence over any personal sympathies or lack thereof in relations with foreign leaders.
  • Demilitarize U.S.-Russia policy. Support NATO membership for the Ukraine and Georgia only if both states truly fulfill membership criteria, and the U.S. realistically can guarantee their safety.
  • Be realistic about Russia. The country no longer represents as great a threat to the West as it did during the Cold War. Washington and Berlin need to overcome unjustified fears.

Much diplomatic finesse will be needed to overcome the deeply rooted differences in the American and German policies toward Russia. Nevertheless, it is imperative that the U.S. and Germany resolve their disagreements and arrive at a coherent strategy in their dealings with Moscow. A working group on the level of the U.S. National Security Council and the German Chancellor's Office could discuss cooperation issues as well as crisis scenarios in order to develop a common approach to Russia. Germany will remain a key player in Russian-American relations. Only by maintaining a close working relationship will the German-American alliance be able to weather the new geostrategic challenges.

This summary was prepared by the Atlantic Community editorial team from "Can Berlin and Washington Agree On Russia?" published here by Washington Quarterly.  

 

 
Tags: | Russia | US | EU | NATO |
 
Comments
Unregistered User

Sun, Nov 22nd 2009, 19:04

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Living many years in Russia I had understood that all of You writinng about Russian Federation can not be taken without it's history and ,what is more powerful - geographical context.There is big difference between old and Young generation of Russians.So ,I think All what You can write or Say is true.Best wishes.
Tags: | korason akino |
 
Member deleted

Sun, Nov 29th 2009, 02:50

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Understanding Russian Federation Plans for Ruggedized Economy
The Russian Federation in a series of meetings has been entertaining a wide range of economic theories to balance their economy. These ideas range from very practical to extremely theoretical and pull information from both failures and successes of capitalism and socialism, resource versus technology, production versus services, engineering versus research projects, small companies or mega global corporations and protectionism versus globalism.

Analysis of Capitalist Crisis
Being in transition from Socialism (Government operated) to Capitalism (Private industry operated) economy while suddenly having Global Capitalism come to the brink of a cascading runaway collapse, has the Russian Federation rethinking its strategy. Wanting to continue with at least some aspects of capitalism the first step performed was deciphering what went wrong with the USA (supposed model of capitalism).
1. Terrorist attack causes USA leaders to panic.
2. Financial leaders dump USA stocks causing corporate leaders to panic.
3. Corporate leaders lay off low workers to lower expenses.
4. Bankers create chaos with up to 35 cost savings plans simultaneously.
5. Government suggests Outsourcing to other countries as cost savings.
6. Corporate leaders lay off mid level USA workers and hire cheaper workers in other countries.
7. USA people slow buying world’s products, as they lose jobs or fear losing jobs.
8. Government deregulation (for decades) removes laws and allows predatory lending of funds.
9. Interest rates (public and hidden) reach critical mass and people lose homes.
10. Each year USA workers are asked to double production as more are laid off.
11. Consumer spending drops to an all time low and global corporations close.
12. Republican Hard Liners deny all and use distraction tactics, (abortion, terrorist, socialist, fascist) delaying any timely response, while they cash in on selling USA banks, corporations and technology developed by the very workers laid off.
13. USA Banks fall and cause a near global cascading runaway economic collapse.
14. USA Democrats and the word governments step in to stop the fall of modern civilization.

Russian Chaos Theory
Russian Chaos Theorist the late Boris Chirikov invented the Chirikov criterion which provides a way to analytically estimate the overlap of resonances and provides for the conditions for Transition from integrability to global chaos. Russian economist are now using chaos theory to model some possible outcomes given certain Russian Federation economic maneuvers and project these into possible global economic successes and failures. Link about Boris Chirikov: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boris_Chirikov

Realist Approach to Russian Economics
The idea is find products based on Macro and Micro trends, tempered by what is practical given various climate and production environments. Also having open conversations and an increased web presence provides both a mental preparation time for the populace and some opportunity to give suggestions of their own via web dialogs.

Yegor Gaidar’s Theory of Economic Transition is an interesting guide due to the fact that it keeps asking the simple question: How can we solve this problem and improve? His latest effort in the search for the perfect economy is comparing USSR 1930 to China 1980 and raises the question should grain and agriculture be collectivist or privatist policy? http://www.aei.org/issue/25991

The goal in the current transition and adjustment to domestic and global conditions still focuses on providing for the basic needs of the populace (food, water, shelter, clothing) while improving the ability to provide for intermediate needs (basic education, communication, entertainment, transportation) and advanced needs (advanced education, mobility, logistics, advanced technical training- science- mechanical-electronic-ecology) to improve adaptability. Yegor Gaidar just like all other economic theorists in the world has the same question: How much of the economy should be socialist and how much capitalist?

World Viewpoint
The Russian Federations public and realist approach is gaining popularity in the world. It is investing more into its own future, providing money and guidance in continued support for economic growth. Compared to the west which has lost its credibility due to the Republican mistakes and evidenced by an unprecedented number of Stupid American videos on youtube. Americans were so quick to spend 10’s of trillions of dollars on a cold war, yet will not even spend 1 trillion to save its own economy. The American democrats have quite a challenge relating to the Russian Federation mainly because it will take some time to recoup our own credibility. The more we recoup the better we will be accepted by the Russian Federation and other countries.
Tags: | Russian economy |
 
Unregistered User

Thu, Dec 17th 2009, 22:54

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Jeff Hathor
You are right about 'the more we will recoup the better we will be accepted by Russian Federation".
But same goes to Russians, but Kremlin has become very unfriendly.
Kremlin wants to learn but shuts the doors to NGOs.
The tax collectors are abusing foreign businesses. FSB is doing the same. City officials are not handling your applications unless paid under the counter.
Law is always on Kremlin side.
Only thing Kremlin understands is big stick and that is the reason why Beijing is enjoying great success making deals with Moscow.
Heavens! Vladimir Putin is yes man in the front Mr. Hu.
 
Darrell Calvin Brown

Wed, Dec 30th 2009, 16:57

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Both Germany and the United States would do well to recognize Russia as the world power it is. Russia is quite capable of speaking for itself within or apart from the EU.It supplies fuel to many people and has negotiated with the USA in and of itself in times past successfully. No one should make the mistake of patronizing any of these world leaders by any means as lobbyists often do.
 
Unregistered User

Wed, Dec 30th 2009, 21:14

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Modern day Russia, as with modern day China, will become more democxratic and involved in the worldwide free enterprise system if we are more friendly and less critical of the Russian economy and private sector.

It is OK to note that the Government of Russia does it's national economy no good by jailing free enterprise entrepaneurs. On the other hand, Russia needs to standardize it's central and national banking system so that a uniform monetary process exists.

The issue, alleged, of young Russian entrepaneurs not paying adequate or appropriate taxes is best handled in the courts, which also need a general unification as to "what" legal code of ethics and standards all Russian courts must uniformaly follow.

If Russia has too few or inadequate tax laws, then they should look to the future, not the past, to collect the variety of taxes deemed necessary for the nation of Russia to function best.
Tags: | Russian taxes/economy |
 

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