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May 11, 2007 |  5 comments |  Print  Your Opinion  

Collective Intelligence and the Future of Decision Making

Johannes Bohnen: Collective intelligence is the cornerstone of Atlantic-Community.org and a potential catalyst for policy innovation.

Our project Atlantic Community is admittedly ambitious. We claim not only to function as an author-driven online magazine, but also as an “Open Think Tank on Global Issues” that is guided by collective intelligence. We are also not particularly modest in the belief that this approach will allow the recommendations of informed citizens to influence actual decision-making in the realms of public and foreign policy. For us a lot hinges on the effectiveness of this so-called ‘collective intelligence.’

The theory of collective intelligence holds that groups can be smarter than individual expert knowledge. George Pór, a pioneer in collective intelligence theory, defined the phenomenon as “the capacity of human communities to evolve towards higher order complexity and harmony, through such innovation mechanisms as differentiation and integration, competition and collaboration.” Today we have evidence, for instance, that the Wikipedia model is a success. Studies have shown that Wikipedia is (almost) as trustworthy as standard encyclopedias. The sum of its contributions yields an intelligence that seemingly has a mind of its own; a unique organism has, in effect, taken hold.

In the attempt to create a format that truly utilizes collective intelligence, the Atlantic Community has tried to answer two basic questions:

First, how do we generate collective intelligence? As a basic prerequisite, the ideas and analysis of the users have to be informed, original and solution oriented. In order to trigger this quality, we provide valuable background information in our Context column. More importantly, we present our readers with thought-provoking impulses by excellent authors in the Policy Workshop. We believe that a mix of people that cuts across generations, nations, disciplines and cultures makes all the difference - and: only sound arguments matter! We are confident that this approach will generate unorthodox, but realistic solutions to world problems. In other words: we envision a new way of communication by pitching different actors and their thoughts against each other. This concept of competition among ideas is instrumental to the true nature of collective intelligence; to the theory itself, as well as its implementation on the Atlantic Community.

In the future, we aim to provide Executive Summaries which will harness the energy and innovation inherent in collective intelligence. There we will showcase the best ideas from Policy Workshop discussions and distill them into applicable solutions for opinion leaders and policy makers. Our editorial team will identify and assemble your arguments – to the best of their knowledge and with the help of ratings generated by users.

We believe in the strength of collective intelligence and are confident in its applicability, but generating recommendations based on it is just the first step in our modus operandi. The second question for us is therefore: How can we make sure that our work influences decision-makers?

The Atlantic Community is based in Berlin. Our ties with the government and the parliament here are close. We are confident that we can channel our executive summaries to decision-makers and their staff and that they will be read by a considerable number of them. How do we plan on achieving the same in other countries and capitals? How can we create a sustainable network of users in all the other countries that are able to connect with decision-makers? We envision a satellite system of collaborators from our community. Above all, the Atlantic Community is an interconnected network of opinions without borders. But, in the spirit of collective intelligence we ask you directly: What are your thoughts on the Atlantic Community’s potential?

Without your contribution, the logic of the open think tank will not work. We therefore sincerely invite you to think of this site as yours. It is our motivation to provide an effective framework for your political participation in the truest sense of the word.

Dr. Johannes Bohnen is co-founder of the Atlantische Initiative and publisher of the Atlantic Community. He also works as a political entrepreneur and self-employed public affairs consultant in Berlin.

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Matthias  Tonhäuser

May 11, 2007

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Hi Johannes, hi everybody at the Atlantische Initiative

First of all, the technical and optical design of the site struck me as very good. The Atlantic Community is supposed to be a new kind of political community. Unfortunately, I can´t seem to see how this community is meant to work. If I understand the system of the Atlantic Community right, authors chosen by the Atlantic Community staff are writing about topics of their interests, while the Atlantic Community staff provides the community with background information. Now, this all very nice, but how is this a community? All I can do as a normal user is to write comments to the articles writen by the experts. I can neither write articles myself, nor can I tell someone what I would like to read about. I can´t look directly for other users, that are interested in the same topics as I am. And even if I could, of what use would that be? I mean, I can´t just write an e-mail to someone, who is interested in the NATO as well, saying "hi, you´re interested in the NATO as well, are you?", can I? What I´m trying to say is that the Atlantic Community lacks certain features of a community.

You could do several things, to change this. You could add a forum, for example. Or you could take a lok at social news media sites such as digg.net. At this site, users are able to write small news items and the other users are deciding, wether these news items are newsworthy or not. Digg.net is among the top 20 sites on the world. So, why not let the users of the Atlantic Community look for interesting political studies and rate them? I could for example write: "Hi folks, the Brookings Institution just published an interesting article on transatlantic relations." Other users would then rate this article, thus moving it to the top of the page or the bottom. They could also comment on it, wereby these comments could also be rated. Look at digg.net to get a better understand of what I mean. As far as I know, there is no such service aviable yet on any of the think tank sites. This feature could really set the Atlantic Community apart.

I believe the Atlantische Initiative is doing a good work and I would like to see the Atlantic Community become a successfull project. Maybe my comments can help to achieve that.

Cheers,

Matthias
 
Joerg  Wolf

May 12, 2007

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Matthias,
Thank you very much indeed for your comment and helpful suggestions.

We are working on a forum. For the time being you could simply email us your suggestions for topics as well as interesting articles you have found on the internet.
You can email us your articles. May I ask what you would like to write about?

I like your suggestion of a digg like tool for Think Tank reports. Though, most reports are much much longer than the typical article recommended at Digg. It takes only a few minutes to read something recommended at Digg and then decide whether it should get a positive rating or not. It requires, however, much more time to read a Think Tank report, which you would need to do before you can rate it. Thus, I am not sure, if many users will read many reports and then rate them. Still, I think it is a useful and cool tool, which we should try at some point. As our community grows, this tool could really work.

You can already rate comments by users. That is another community feature. I have rated your above comment for instance. We will write executive summaries based on the best comments. The ratings will be used for other purposes as well. The Atlantic Community will have more and more community features and involve all interested members more and more.

Do you think it would be useful if registered members get the chance to rate our Must Reads, Atlantic Summaries, Backgrounders, Pro & Cons and Policy Workshop columns as well??? So far users can only rate comments by other users, but not the texts written by us and our external authors.
We already have a lot of material on the Atlantic Community. If registered members rate the best pieces on our website, then everybody can see the most popular pieces in a ranking, like on Digg. Would you like to have this kind of feature?


"I can´t look directly for other users, that are interested in the same topics as I am."

Yes, you can. Click here http://atlantic-community.org/index.php/community/ pick "Areas of Interest" and click on "Search."
Tags: | ratings |
 
Sebastian  Gallander

May 14, 2007

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?Without naivety you? ll never make a new start? This quote from the German political scientist Gesine Schwan immediately came to my mind when I read about your idea of an open think tank. Given the complex nature of today's public policy problems it indeed might seem somewhat naïve to believe that such a forum could contribute anything to the solutions of these problems. At the same time it is matter of fact that conventional mechanisms of addressing the major political challenges of our planet is becomming less and less sufficient.

This is one of the reasons why think tanks and new civil society initiatives have entered the stage. Many of them hold and develop very important know-how.

Oftentimes however they lack effective ways to disseminate their concepts and discuss them with a wider, global audience. Beyond that outside of these organizations there are also lots of bright minds that just cannot or do not want to bring their ideas through the tiresome selection processes of academia and political parties.

Hence there indeed is a need for such a forum like the open think tank.

Look at the consumer industry: It has sized the opportunities the Internet offers from its very beginning in order to better reach its target groups all over the world. Your attempt of trying to help the think tank community to catch up may be seen as very optimistic but it is certainly overdue.
 
Philipp  Schuller

May 14, 2007

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This is an interesting debate. A couple of thoughts

1. Control. Should AC be like a paper with editors' control over content and quality or more like a wiki with no more than few policing powers? At the moment it reads much like a paper, with some elements of interactivity. This will keep the level of quality high but it is the inherently more expensive option, as the momentum (inviting articles; getting external attention etc) will have to be continued by the editorial staff.

2. Audience. Should AC be an elitist institution or a populist one? A debate among informed elites is of course much more relevant for problem solution, but the risk is that AC just rehashes material that is already published elsewhere. A populist approach would also allow less informed opinion a voice and would perhaps be more effective in addressing the issue of democratic deficits caused by the increasing complexity of policy making.

3. Scope. At the moment, AC is naturally Germany-centric. Would debate really be helped if there was a balance between articles and comments from other "Atlantic" countries? I suspect it wouldn't, witness the lack of a truly European newspaper. If you forced your German readers to read articles about French (Italian, Irish etc) views on foreign policy, you would sometimes get enlightenment, but more often you would get disinterest.

Nevertheless, over the last couple of weeks, a lot of momentum has gathered and while the sailing is good, it's best to cover some distance. Best of luck!
 
Matthias  Tonhäuser

May 14, 2007

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Jörg,

thanks very much for your answer. A few things I would like to reply:

Digg: While it is true that most think tank reports are quite long, it is also true that most of them have executive summaries. Crisis Group reports normally number 30-40 pages, but the main points are neatly summed up on just 2 pages. So, readers wouldn't have to read the whole report in order to write a small news item about it. And if it turns out that they missed important facts, other users can still point that out in the comments to this news item. As I said before, such a tool would give the community an opportunity to add some content to the Atlantic Community of their own other than just comments to the articles.

Rating: It would be a good idea to let the community vote on all articles on the page. You could display the rating of the article (and the number of people who rated it) beneath the article. Having done that, you could also display a small box like "Users recommend" on the front page naming the best rated articles. Other websites also display rankings such as "Most e-mailed".
 

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