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July 26, 2008 |  2 comments |  Print  Your Opinion  

Daniel  Fiott

Defending Europe in the Future: Revising the European Security Strategy

Daniel Fiott: Any revision of the European Security Strategy later this year should aim to deal with the security threats posed by climate change, energy security, human security, cyber crime and the incoherence of the European Union’s military capabilities.


The adoption of the ESS in 2003 identified several security threats that the EU would have to work in unison to remedy. Terrorism, the proliferation of Weapons of Mass Destruction, regional conflicts, state failure and organised crime all formed part of a security ‘to do list' which would be tackled through multilateral cooperation with key partners such as the US and exerting greater influence in its own neighbourhood.

To its credit, the ESS has helped foster increased cooperation between the different policy ‘pillars' of the EU, and it has also helped orientate and frame the objectives of a number of EU external actions. It was instrumental, for example, in ensuring the deployment of a number of European Security and Defence Policy missions to places such as Africa.

However, while any revision should continue concentrating issues such as terrorism it should go further in others. Climate change, for example, will increase the future number of displaced persons and violent conflicts over landownership and resources. Accordingly, a revised ESS must specify the resources needed by the EU to respond to crises such as improved ‘early warning systems'.

A revised ESS should also incorporate ‘energy security' by outlining an action plan to develop alternative ‘greener' fuels (e.g. solar and tidal power) that can be produced within the EU. This would lower the EU's current energy import rate of 50%, lower energy prices for consumers, lower greenhouse emissions and ensure that the EU is not dependent on the uncertainty and conditionality of energy supplies from places like Russia or the Middle-East.

‘Human security' must also be included in any revision. Indeed, after the adoption by all EU member states of the ‘Responsibility-to-Protect' principle in 2005 - mandating intervention in states unwilling or unable to halt crimes against humanity - human security should be enshrined in a revised ESS.

More also needs to be done to combat ‘cyber crime'. Indeed, with recent reports suggesting the Chinese had hacked into a number of European government computer systems, a revised Strategy must stress the importance of greater investment into research and development in the security and defence sector and the need for EU member states to increasingly pool intelligence in detecting possible attacks.

Finally, a revised ESS would identify the EU's actual military needs relative to its security policy ambitions. Indeed, while the present Strategy recognises the need to develop military capabilities under the ESDP, it needs to go beyond a list of ‘intentions' and ‘successes' and state clearly the types and numbers of personnel and equipment needed to be able to implement, and if necessary enforce, the EU's strategic goals.

Concluding, any revision must serve first and foremost as a ‘security road map', as a reference guide with concrete goals for the EU, and not just a catalogue of intentions. Indeed, it would continue to highlight and refine the security challenges posed in the current Strategy but extend this to cover the threats posed by climate change, energy security, human security, cyber crime and incoherent military capabilities.

Daniel Fiott is an independent journalist based in Brussels.

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Heinrich  Bonnenberg

July 27, 2008

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The proposal that a revised ESS should incorporate “energy security” is absolutely essential for becoming more independent of foreign energy supply from Middle-East.

The realistic solution of energy security is the use of clean electro-energy in the whole energy market, that means not only in the classical market of electricity (running industrial and private machines, trains, household, lighting, information, cooling), but also in the much bigger energy markets of heating houses and warming water as well as of driving cars. But that intention has to be done in consideration of the economical as well as the technical truths. We all have to know and accept that
1. The renewable energies (sun, wind etc) are given by nature in a density (Joule per m2) which is much less than the man made demand of energy, mainly in densely populated areas, in most parts of Europe. The collection and concentration of renewable energies are technically difficult and very expensive.
2. Natural gas and oil will suffer shortage and theirs use and combustion increase the burden by CO2.
3. Coal and lignite are enough available, but their combustion produces CO2, too A modern constant-load power plant fueled by coal with an output of 1,000 MW needs about 1. 7 millions tons of coal per year and produces about 5 million tons of CO2 per year. This is equivalent to approximately 2.5 billion m3 per year; in mathematical terms, this would amount to a cube measuring approximately 1.4 km x 1.4 km x 1.4 km. CO2 can be liquefied at high pressure, whereby the volume is reduced to 0.27% of the initial volume. In the example just cited, the CO2 would be reduced to a volume of 6.75 million m3, amounting to a cube measuring approximately 190 m x 190 m x 190 m. The above-ground storage of such great volumes of liquefied CO2 would not be possible, because it would require the use of gigantic pressurized containers, which are not feasible. Subterranean final storage of such huge volumes of liquefied CO2 under high pressure is needed. A very expensive high-tech solution has to developed, if at all possible.
4. Nuclear energy is highly concentrated and less expensive and the operation of the power plants as well as the handling of their spent fuel are technically feasible and proved about decades, the last mainly because of its small volumes.

In consideration of these facts, we have to accept that one essential condition for ameliorating energy security is the use of nuclear energy, and that much more as up to now.

The discussion about energy security has to be done honestly and not ideologically. Otherwise we are in danger to shift from foreign dependance to environmetally driven esoteric despotism.
 
Donald  Stadler

July 27, 2008

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I suggest that Europe also looks at a different kind of 'climate change' - the change in political climate in the US after the continental NATO 'allies' turned on George Bush. There is MUCH less enthusiasm in the US for defending continental Europe after that.

In the short term this may not matter - but Europeans like to believe that they plan for the long term, though their actions usually seem to be extremely centered in the short term. Or so it appears to me....
 

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