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July 6, 2010 |  6 comments |  Print  Book Reviews  

Ethan Christian Arrow

Fareed Zakaria: The Post American World

Ethan Christian Arrow:

Opening with a quote from Arnold J. Toynbee’s A Study of History, Fareed Zakaria poses the thesis that America is standing at the crossroads between a new leadership role and a frustrated obscurity. “Growth takes place whenever a challenge evokes a successful response that, in turn, evokes a further and different challenge. We have not found any intrinsic reason why this process should not repeat itself indefinitely, even though a majority of civilizations have failed, as a matter of historical fact.”

Possessing a rather “loaded” title, Zakaria’s survey of America’s supposedly waning hegemony has think tanks and political journals alike discussing the prospects of a “post-American world.” Zakaria is not to be branded, however, as a subscriber to the American declinist canon. Rather, he prophesies the possibility of a multi-polar world, in which developing nations such as China and India play a central role, albeit alongside a still powerful, vibrant America.

Setting a new tone to these historical shifts of the current geo-political paradigm, Zakaria is nothing short of an optimist. Around the world people are alluding to coming economic recessions, the rise of ballistic nations, and even an inevitable doomsday. Through decoupling politics from economics, however, the Post-American World empirically reframes the current state of international affairs as a flourishing world, in which hundreds of millions are moving into the middle class, military conflicts are at an historical minimum and societies across the globe are willing to be active in a global society.

Zakaria centers his focus around the US, China and India, their respective positions in the current international order, and possible roles they will assume in the coming “post-American” era. China is portrayed as the competitor, an almost mysterious agent, reshaping a continent’s political substance and reluctant to abandon its long-lived notions of collective society, avoidance of principle and relative indifference to other nations.

India, on the other hand, Zakaria names an ally. Characterized as a noisy democracy lacking social cohesion and possessing a worldview not easily understood by Westerners, India is making strides in pulling a nation out of the quagmire of poverty and onto the stage of global players. Merely a recent phenomena enabled through nuclear agreements and geo-strategic cooperation, India’s close relationship with the US will continue to grow in a region with both politically destabilized nations and rapidly growing economies.

Both China and India are only beginning to realize their current strength and future potential, exactly in a time when the American model is losing its international appeal. Zakaria uses the rise and fall of the British Empire as a possible scenario for America’s future relations with nations that have traditionally hidden under her arms of military might and economic authority. But unlike the British, America must explore and exploit new constellations of power and partnership for the coming decades, in which manifestations of hard, soft and smart power may not always be equally present.

The majority of analysis is, of course, directed toward the United States and the decisions it faces. What does a post-American world look like? Is the world of global politics engaged in a zero-sum game? According to Zakaria, America is, and will continue to be the world’s most influential, dominant global player both militarily and economically. In fact, a “rise of the rest” does not perforce demand a decline of the current quintessential power. America’s challenge in the future does not lie in the struggle to maintain global, police-like authority, but rather, in choosing a path that opens the world to its influence, which in turn, continues to engage it as a legitimate leader.

What’s most striking about Zakaria is his sanguinity regarding America’s future, set within its historical context. The same appeal it had for 18th and 19th century Europeans, it will continue to have for intelligent, ambitious individuals across the globe. China’s economy can boom, India can assert its regional position, and the EU can offer new models of cohesion and governance, but the US’s allure of innovation, vibrant demographics and trend-setting institutions is an edge that no measure of traditional power is currently able to threaten. In this respect, Americans should not be boarding up windows in preparation for the coming crises, but rather strategically setting the course for a multi-polar, more diverse world.

Reading this book was a pleasure. Steering clear of entangling statistics and overt bias, Zakaria presents a thoughtful approach to a pressing question, which an audience with limited knowledge of America’s complex foreign relations can easily understand. Not to be earmarked for the shelves of infotainment, I believe he offers a concise summary of current global politics with a strong theoretical basis both for the citizen and the specialist.

 

Ethan Arrow is an editorial intern at the Atlantic Community. He is currently an MA student at the Free University of Berin, studying European Integration within the scope of German Studies.

 

Fareed Zakaria: The Post American World

Buy at Amazon.com or Amazon.de

Opening with a quote from Arnold J. Toynbee’s A Study of History, Fareed Zakaria poses the thesis that America is standing at the crossroads between a new leadership role and a frustrated obscurity. “Growth takes place whenever a challenge evokes a successful response that, in turn, evokes a further and different challenge. We have not found any intrinsic reason why this process should not repeat itself indefinitely, even though a majority of civilizations have failed, as a matter of historical fact.”

Possessing a rather “loaded” title, Zakaria’s survey of America’s supposedly waning hegemony has think tanks and political journals alike discussing the prospects of a “post-American world.” Zakaria is not to be branded, however, as a subscriber to the American declinist canon. Rather, he prophesies the possibility of a multi-polar world, in which developing nations such as China and India play a central role, albeit alongside a still powerful, vibrant America.

Setting a new tone to these historical shifts of the current geo-political paradigm, Zakaria is nothing short of an optimist. Around the world people are alluding to coming economic recessions, the rise of ballistic nations, and even an inevitable doomsday. Through decoupling politics from economics, however, the Post-American World empirically reframes the current state of international affairs as a flourishing world, in which hundreds of millions are moving into the middle class, military conflicts are at an historical minimum and societies across the globe are willing to be active in a global society.

Zakaria centers his focus around the US, China and India, their respective positions in the current international order, and possible roles they will assume in the coming “post-American” era. China is portrayed as the competitor, an almost mysterious agent, reshaping a continent’s political substance and reluctant to abandon its long-lived notions of collective society, avoidance of principle and relative indifference to other nations.

India, on the other hand, Zakaria names an ally. Characterized as a noisy democracy lacking social cohesion and possessing a worldview not easily understood by Westerners, India is making strides in pulling a nation out of the quagmire of poverty and onto the stage of global players. Merely a recent phenomena enabled through nuclear agreements and geo-strategic cooperation, India’s close relationship with the US will continue to grow in a region with both politically destabilized nations and rapidly growing economies.

Both China and India are only beginning to realize their current strength and future potential, exactly in a time when the American model is losing its international appeal. Zakaria uses the rise and fall of the British Empire as a possible scenario for America’s future relations with nations that have traditionally hidden under her arms of military might and economic authority. But unlike the British, America must explore and exploit new constellations of power and partnership for the coming decades, in which manifestations of hard, soft and smart power may not always be equally present.

The majority of analysis is, of course, directed toward the United States and the decisions it faces. What does a post-American world look like? Is the world of global politics engaged in a zero-sum game? According to Zakaria, America is, and will continue to be the world’s most influential, dominant global player both militarily and economically. In fact, a “rise of the rest” does not perforce demand a decline of the current quintessential power. America’s challenge in the future does not lie in the struggle to maintain global, police-like authority, but rather, in choosing a path that opens the world to its influence, which in turn, continues to engage it as a legitimate leader.

What’s most striking about Zakaria is his sanguinity regarding America’s future, set within its historical context. The same appeal it had for 18th and 19th century Europeans, it will continue to have for intelligent, ambitious individuals across the globe. China’s economy can boom, India can assert its regional position, and the EU can offer new models of cohesion and governance, but the US’s allure of innovation, vibrant demographics and trend-setting institutions is an edge that no measure of traditional power is currently able to threaten. In this respect, Americans should not be boarding up windows in preparation for the coming crises, but rather strategically setting the course for a multi-polar, more diverse world.

Reading this book was a pleasure. Steering clear of entangling statistics and overt bias, Zakaria presents a thoughtful approach to a pressing question, which an audience with limited knowledge of America’s complex foreign relations can easily understand. Not to be earmarked for the shelves of infotainment, I believe he offers a concise summary of current global politics with a strong theoretical basis both for the citizen and the specialist.

 

Ethan Arrow is an editorial intern at the Atlantic Community. He is currently an MA student at the Free University of Berin, studying European Integration within the scope of German Studies.

 

Fareed Zakaria: The Post American World

Buy at Amazon.com or Amazon.de

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Tags: | US | China | India | globalization | American hegemony |
 
Comments
Donald  Stadler

July 21, 2008

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I agree with what Zakaria seems to be saying here. The US will remain the paramont power for some time yet - the factors which pulled down the UK do not apply. Trying to hold on to sole superpower status would be the one way to bring the US down prematurly. There are a crop of new powers appearing on the global map. Not only China but also India, Brazil, Russia (old "new" power), potentially South Africa. If the EU can ever get it's act together it is an obvious candidate for power or even superpower status - but the constituent countries (Germany, France, UK) either lack the will or the size to be major powers in the way China, India, and Brazil will be.
 
Unregistered User

July 15, 2009

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I agree with Donald. Like all countries we get knocked down but we get up again.

The thing that I would add is that much of this has to do with personal, regional or a modern term corporate enterprise and not just hegemonic stability theory. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hegemonic_stability_theory The question that has been nagging me is: What’s after the Corporation in evolution?

One thing is for certain; our concepts for business and community continue to evolve as our civilization evolves. Here is some food for thought.

Past Business
Tribes sending out hunters and plant specialist to bring back food.
Ancient Slavic families growing edible plants, designated as the lowest level economic unit.
Ancient Japan rice farming communities protected by Warlords with samurai, recognized as a large government entity.
Ancient Persia herding sheep and goats for milk and clothing.
Ancient China domesticating Ox to pull wagons and plows the fields.
Ancient India domesticating Elephants for labor.
Ancient Europe wood workers building ships for long distance trade routes.

Recent History and Present
Black smiths and metallurgy increase tool making capabilities.
Engineering companies start to build wood and brick homes faster.
Electric companies provide energy to power modern machines.
Telegraph companies improve long distance communication.
Industrial corporations increase production through efficiency division of labor and large teams.
Aircraft corporations increase speed of long distance travel.
Computer corporations provide a faster ability to record, track and analyze information.
Information age is created promoting instant communication and sharing of ideas for work or entertainment via text, voice, and video using mobile or stationary communications devices.

Future
I believe we will advance from corporation to habitat, due to the intense nature of service provider to customer interaction. The customer may be required to spend more time at the habitat for prior testing, production, training and adjustment time for individual specific products.
Bio Engineering Habitats provide genetic engineering services to increase human Encephalitic coefficient (brain to weight ratio) as creatures with a higher brain to weight ratio have an increase ability to adapt.
Artificial Engineering Habitats generate computer programs and robots to enhance human capabilities for specific or intended goal attainment.
Augmented Engineering Habitats interface cybernetic implants to improve memory, calculation, analysis and creative thinking skills in humans.
Education Engineering Habitats cultivate your child’s strengths (with many complements) while very gradually strengthening your child’s weaknesses (with lots of encouragement).

Jeff Hathor
Evolution Theorist
www.engfuture.com
Tags: | Future | corporation | economy |
 
Unregistered User

August 4, 2009

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There is something interesting in such views. We often think about the predictive values of well-ordered life that one has assumed the so-called modernity had ushered in. Acid Rain, shrinking bio-spheric diversity and richness, Global warming, etc. seem to imagine some Hollywood Movie realities of cyborgs becoming more real than humans. As old fashioned homo sapiens who still need oxygen to breathe in, food that the land yeilds to survive, and water to sustain his/her basic physical existence, perhaps it makes more sense to look at those basic issues first that are being threatened by human action; the secondary issues over the rationale behind organized life and its viability - without turning into a technocrat that is unaware of his or her status as a homo sapien with typical earthly-dependencies that are hinted at here!

It is indeed less useful to worry about particular worlds and dominances - if they are not about improving those very conditions and that address those very concerns that we see here. A clear elucidation of the normative concerns of states that vie for dominances makes more sense.
The issue of soft power comes in here - minus the violences of consumerism that should get and shall get the attention of states and the global community.

At the core of issues, we do find very clear normative concerns that can not be done away with. Dominances of particular states do not merely pertain to the hard power of military hardware. It is much more than that.

www.johnlately.webs.com/ /> http://teachingsimplified.thefreedomnetwork.org/2009/08/03/thinking...
Tags: | dominances | soft power | Future |
 
Marc William Zedler

August 8, 2009

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I found the 'Post American World' concise and it’s concluding arguments very natural/probable. The biggest threats facing the US are internal and not external. In such an interdependent world the growth of new powers will encourage new economic opportunities and should not be feared. It is up to the United States to remain relevant and keep ourselves competitive. Innovation is a cornerstone that should be maintained and nurtured in US society. A long as the lingua franca remains English and the US dominates pop cultural then a global appeal will always ensue.

“Human existence largely depends on the power of ideas; ideas that once liberated a society, if allowed to become stale, will result in stagnation and decline of that society.”
- Muqtedar Khan
Tags: | soft power | US | Post American World |
 
Unregistered User

August 15, 2009

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Momentum
In many ways the United States has many types of momentum carrying us forward. In some cases this momentum seems to want to overwhelm us and in other cases expand into cultures we do not know enough about, and in still other cases distract us or slow our progress. I will be specific.

Technology
We inherited many theories, technologies and the desire for innovation from our European ancestors. We have the inertia of this past, compelled forward by our current research and development and these push us in certain technologically advancing areas. Some examples: Artificial intelligence, Nano-Technology, Bio-engineering, Robotics and Geo-engineering.
In the book The Spike by Damien Broderick there are implications of the acceleration of change increasing so sharply that the future is not just unknowable but unrecognizable.

Economics
In the past a person could spend their entire life researching and finally make a discovery that advanced a theory. Now we are pushed to get results and make advances monthly or faster. Failure could cost us our jobs. The biggest WAR going on right now is corporate CEOs versus Stock market Chiefs, because real corporate results in R&D and sales no longer mean anything, stocks are dumped and corporations close.

Evolution
Expanding or teaming up with many other countries the way the USA has done, spreads the expertise and work base around the world. For long term survival of a species this redundancy principle actually improves our probability of survival.

Conclusion
We are currently being pushed around by these currents at all levels of workers, managers, executives and CEOs. These must be researched, understood and ways to manage these currents so we can exist and advance in a stable manner. Each of these categories give benefits and also have detrimental side effects if not managed properly.
Tags: | technology | economics | evolution | USA |
 
Unregistered User

December 1, 2009

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I would just add: Too often, and perhaps prematurely in this case, declines are attributed to the policies of particular US presidents. The structural import of the US in world affairs has not really been diminished. It is an age of "reset" and balance rather than a decline in American importance.
 

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