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June 11, 2012 |  9 comments |  Print  Your Opinion  

Legitimizing Syrian Intervention

Ramin Daniel Rezai: The international community is under immense pressure to deal with Syria, as al-Assad and his regime continue to use brute force against their citizens. Because diplomacy and sanctions have yet to show success, the best guarantee to stopping the loss of life is a legitimate, but illegal armed intervention in Syria.

As Syria slides further into a full-fledged civil war and the violence throughout the country continues to escalate, pressure for intervention is mounting. The international community’s immediate priority should be to stop the bloodshed. What needs to be considered is whether such measures can be achieved within the legal normative framework supplied by the United Nations Charter, given the current political backdrop.

Although the Security Council may authorize (non-)military enforcement measures under Chapter VII, all enforcement measures taken thus far have been fruitless. Diplomacy is obviously not working. The Six Point Plan from Kofi Annan which garnered full Security Council member support for a cease-fire, along with the subsequent Council resolutions adopted to implement the Plan, practically came to an end overnight after the Houla massacre.

Syrian sanctions have not been working either. The Arab League, US and EU have imposed sanctions against the purchase of Syrian oil, technologies and strategic goods that can be utilized by the government to suppress Syrians, and have added Syrian officials on their sanctions list, i.e. freezing assets and imposing travel bans. Not only have these measures failed to change al-Assad’s behavior, but they might have even negatively affected the living conditions of Syrian citizens, due to the price rise of certain necessary commodities.

As for military measures, given that Russia vetoed a resolution on Syria in February that did not authorize a Libya-style intervention or even threaten an arms embargo and sanctions, I am of the opinion that a compromise acceptable to Russia is unlikely to be reached in the immediate future. This removes the option of taking UN Security Council-sanctioned military enforcement measures, such as the Responsibility to Protect, from the table.

In the absence of an explicit Security Council resolution, the only other exemption to Article 2(4)’s prohibition on the use of force is when a state invokes its right to self-defense after having suffered an armed attack – limited to acts necessary and proportionate. Turkey asserted that it may consider invoking Art. 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, i.e. the collective security clause, after a cross-border shooting by Syrian security forces killed two Turkish officials and left three injured. But it did not. Any attempt to justify the use of force against Syria in response to the shootings as self-defense, with the amount of time that has elapsed, would lack credibility. It is also clear that any use of force by Turkey, or by its allies in NATO will not be proportionate to the degree of force employed by Syria in this particular incident. Furthermore, the use of force by Turkey must only be directed to restore the status quo ante, that is, limited to restoring security along the Syrian border.

It seems that there are no viable legal options. Having ruled out collective intervention and self defense, states or NATO could justify their actions when unilaterally intervening without Security Council authorization by pointing at numerous contextual considerations. Although a claim to legality will not be possible, a claim to legitimacy could definitely be made – a position which NATO held when describing its action over Kosovo. Given the current paralysis of the Security Council, the intervening states or NATO must present a clear message that they are discharging their responsibilities by attempting to put an end to the violence. The burden is on them to persuade other governments that their actions are legitimate and will be tolerated among most UN members.

In conclusion, there are four arguments that might warrant legitimate armed intervention in Syria. First, that Assad continues to commit widespread, systematic and gross human rights violations against its civilians, and that there is grave concern over the plight of refugees in neighboring countries, i.e. there is an existence of a real humanitarian emergency. Second, that peace and security in the region is further threatened by the risk that the conflict will spillover into other countries such as Lebanon and Iraq. Third, that all peaceful remedies have been exhausted, diplomacy and sanctions have not worked, and the only means to prevent further human misery is military intervention. And fourth, that the General Assembly and Arab League have condemned the violations of human rights by Syrian authorities, demanding that the Syrian government put an end to the violence.

Ramin Daniel Rezai is an editor of atlantic-community.org.

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Florian  Broschk

June 11, 2012

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While arguments against the proposed intervention have been exchanged here (www.atlantic-community.org/index.php/articles/view/NATO_and_Syria%3A_A_Case_for_Intervention#comments), specifically regarding the question whether it is wise to militarily intervene at all for any external actor, I understand that this article limits itself to the question of how to justify such an act from the perspective of international law.

Here, I would like to sum up that existing international law (which banned war, as we all know, for a good reason) does not justify an act of war against Syria, but we could still do it and find excuses. The widespread abuses against Syrian civilians, which dominate the Western press as the "latest fad" (a dozen dead Syrians, reported by one ewarring party, are big news, a dozen dead Afghans are not) are seen much more in the context of civil-war worldwide. While the government has a special responsibility and as I, without full knowledge of the situation, would carefully agree, a driving factor of the violence, it can hardly be blamed for everything happening in the context of a violent rebellion/counterrebellion. This seems to be much better understood in countries with a certain own experience of this kind of war than in the West. The threat to peace and security in the region does not, to say the least, appear to diminish with a foreign intervention, specifically if one or the other side were to be (as seems to be the mood in the West) decisively defeated with the other brought to power. Again, I would like to point out that a military is a crude instrument, designed to achieve negative political goals (destroying things and people) and not well-suited for positive goals (achieving political endstates other than certain things or people being destroyed). While it can deter and press actors into accptance of certain processes, we saw that this spectacularly failed twice in the region (and Lybia does not look like a success either). Thus, while "diplomacy and sanctions" are also only partly able to influence other parties, the seeming might of the military should not entice observers to believe it an all-powerful instrument to achieve political goals. It is not. And it is per definition a quite implausible instrument "to prevent human misery" (unless it is used outside its primary field, say, in a natural disaster). Condemnations of violene in a certain country, lastly, and pressure on a government (which does have a higher responsibility or at least visibility in a civil war) to bring an end to a civil war raging do NOT amount to a declaration of war or even the consent of other countries attacking the mentioned countries (...as we all know, the UN General Assembly as well as the Arab League have regularly condemned Israel for various reasons. This is no authorization of War by any other country against Israel, either - or is it?)

If we are to follow the arguments of this article, I would suggest that at the very least we then drop our moral and legal pretenses, just as our democratic forefathers so admirably did before attacking the Medians. The problem with us openly admitting that "right is only in question between equals in power while the strong do what they can and the weak suffer what they must" (and the arguments you suggested are just thin veils in my opinion for this) is of course that we could hardly claim outrage when - say - the Russians invade Georgia ("to end suffering") or China invades Taiwan ("to avert bloodshed"). Or Sudan the South Sudan. Whatever.

Of course, us this time not opting to invade yet another Middle Eastern country would not cement war being officially outlawed nor deter other countries from using shaky excuses for interventions they are eager to undertake. However, by sparing us (to say nothing of the population involved) a potentially disastrous intervention, threatening to spread to neighbouring countries which then has to be deterred again (and all this in the middle of a certain financial crisis), we would probably also be able to uphold the position where we as the West have globally the position of the strong, doing what they can, for much longer. And thus we would also be able to deter other powers (who by wisely chosing not to intervene militarily in adventures abroad whose complexity they do not grasp preserve their power and thus gain power relatively from every Western intervention slowly but steadily) from doing what they can, as long as it contravenes our interests.

While I personally appreciate your seemingly unlimited trust in the ability of Western militaries not to mess up an intervention in the Middle East (at least not this time), I am somewhat frightened (as I perceive this more or less the general mood among educated Western Foreign-policy elites) that we seem to resemble Bart Simpson, not the hamster, in the famous piece on how to learn from failure (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S-SXkNbyiPI).
 
Ramin Daniel Rezai

June 11, 2012

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Dear Florian,

I would like to start by thanking you for your comment. Indeed, this article focuses on the legal limitations of the use of force in Syria under international law.

There is some truth that the western and Gulf-controlled Arab media have been reporting the widespread and systematic abuses against Syrians through the perspective of the popular uprising against al-Assad’s regime, although the former is also partly to blame. Perhaps there have been too few demands made on anti-government armed groups as has been argued by Russia.

This is especially true when considering the somewhat controversial report by the League of Arab States Observer Mission to Syria which stated that “[i]n some zones, this armed entity reacted by attacking Syrian security forces and citizens, causing the Government to respond with further violence” and that “[i]n Homs, Idlib and Hama, the Observer Mission witnessed acts of violence being committed against Government forces and civilians that resulted in several deaths and injuries” (http://www.columbia.edu/~hauben/Report_of_Arab_League_Observer_Miss...) . This report was made for the period of December 2011 to 18 January 2012. After three weeks, the Arab League had to suspend its mission on January 28, 2012 because of escalating violence (http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/01/28/arab-league-syria-observer...).

The resolutions (Human Rights Council resolutions S-16/1, S-17/1, and S-18/1) and periodically updated commission of inquiry reports by the HRC, written after this time, overwhelmingly expressed concern against gross violations of human rights committed by the Syrian authorities and members of the Syrian security forces and military that may amount to crimes against humanity. As documented in May, “[m]ost of the serious human rights violations […] were committed by the Syrian army and security services as part of military or search operation” (http://www.ohchr.org/Documents/HRBodies/HRCouncil/SpecialSession/CI...).

Acts in violation of international humanitarian law, regardless of the side, should not go unpunished. It would be a good idea for the Security Council to authorize the establishment of an international tribunal to try such suspects after the armed conflict comes to an end.

Let us not forget, while the UN Charter views sovereign equality and non-intervention (with the exception of Chapter VII measures) as a basic tenant of international law, it concurrently emphasizes respect for human rights and self-determination of peoples. It is not for no reason that humanitarian intervention has given rise to the doctrine of the Responsibility to Protect over the past few years. This conflict of norms appears evident here, especially when considering that there was no objection that al-Assad is violating human rights, but only disagreement on whether force should be used because of legal or political reasons. Consideration must be given to the amount of force being used, that is, it does not have to follow a Libya-style intervention, but can focus on providing a secure environment for humanitarian relief operations or provide safe zones. Consideration must also be given to the amount of suffering that is “required” to reach the “threshold” for intervention. What is clear, nonetheless, is that there is a responsibility to uphold universal human rights to prevent another Rwanda and Srebrenica.

The slippery slope of interventionism should also be a concern, as you have rightfully said – intervention as such risks that this precedent might be used by other states to justify interventions, thus undermining international law. This explains why legitimacy is so important. The points that I have listed follow the "just war principles". Points one and two are clearly set out to give a "just cause" to the intervention, while three pertains to the "last resort" principle. As for point four, although General Assembly resolutions are not binding, because of the failure of the Security Council, i.e. "proper authority," to reach an agreement, the GA resolution with a majority of states (137 states in favor 12 against, and 17 abstentions) in favor is a clear indication that the international community wants “to stop all violence or reprisals immediately” – any action, naturally, must be proportionate, and may come from any state or regional organization (non-western as well). (http://www.un.org/News/Press/docs//2012/ga11207.doc.htm)
 
Bernhard  Lucke

June 12, 2012

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One point might be added to Florian's very important comment: the role of the media.

The uncritical way of how many of us westerners seem to believe what is presented in our western mainstream media is to some degree frightening. It might also be a sign of arrogance towards the rest of the world, and as the proverb knows, 'arrogance comes before the fall'.

What we see in our televisions is NOT the realiy, but a very distorted image of it, a projection blurred by the 'spirit of our time', search for profit, prejuidice, and other concious and unconcious factors producing a certain narrative explaining the world. It seems that since the failure of the communist block a corrective world view is missing - one that was certainly distorted in its own way, but at least one that offered an alternative.

What we see in Syria is guerilla and counter-guerilla warfare, something that will not diminish when western forces invade the country, but only increase. Advocating that military interventions in this scenario can restore peace and security means embarking on a world view that dominates in Hollywood studios but not in reality. In this context, it is very important to more carefully observe international laws, and not seek 'legitimacy' somewhere else.

All radical groups find 'legitimacy' of their cause at some place outside international law. But the latter has not been forged to serve one or another doctrine of salvation, be it socialism, capitalism, Islamism, Zionism, or something else, but to find permissible limits for the world community so that in the end everybody would to some degree be protected.

If there is anything that saves us from the tyranny of the strongest, it is international law, and we would do well to observe it. More than enough damage has been done in the recent past, which explains why the 'other side', in this case Syria, Russia, and maybe China, are increasingly ruthless when pursuing their own agendas.

If there is anything that can protect us from barbary, it is international law, and we would do well not to seek 'legitimacy' outside this law.
 
Tabish  Shah

June 12, 2012

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Great article Ramin.

There is a lack of practical solutions being put forward, this article is a welcome departure from that.

Florian and Bernhard, you mention Iraq and Afghanistan - strategists lost their way there and we've have paid the price with lives and finances, we are all aware of that. However this is a different situation - it is not a situation where 'radicals' (for want of a better word) can interpret this as an invasion for natural resources or retaliation and gain support and having Turkey on board would further de-legitimise that - I've already talked about that in more detail in my own article so I won't elaborate further here.

We are flooded with information provided by cultural elites that largely only provide information based on interactions with elites within foreign societies, their own experiences as elites from those societies, or expat communities, not delving beneath the surface and finding out what drives the majority of populations to mobilise and make decisions. Yes, the media is a foggy window at best but that is not limited to our countries - switch on Russia Today or Press TV and although interesting, you will see a massive amount of propaganda with hardly anything to provide an alternative for Russian's or Iranian's with journalists lives under threat if they dare to report anything critical, no mention of the rise in neo-nazism or deterioration in law and order in the former, and no room for development. Is that the type of influence we want to remain having a foothold in the ME? We live in our societies and know what we're like and what are potential is, I'd rather it was NATO states that took the lead here.

Throughout this discussion Florian and Berhard have had the right intentions in providing counterpoints but we need to make a judgement here: What is the purpose of international law, what environment is it there to harbour? Should questions be asked of the law or our ability to implement it when it has been 14 months since Assad's regime has been in flagrant abuse of it and faced no consequences? The fact that we have a law but no mechanism to implement it is a failure that requires a lot more time and thought to fix. With regards to Syria however we need to be calculated and accurate in the way we approach this using the expertise we have, learn previous mistakes, bring Turkey into the fold, and come out of it with our own influence increased.

 
Tabish  Shah

June 13, 2012

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sorry, to clarify my point about the information we currently have access to: I did not mean cultural elites within the US or allied countries, rather those working on these issues usually only get to access cultural/political elites within other countries that have a monopoly over how we understand issues limited to a small cross-section of those societies.
 
Bernhard  Lucke

June 13, 2012

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Dear Tabish,

you misjudge Florian's and my comments if you assume that we oppose a military intervention in Syria as kind of a reflex action based on the negative experiences in Iraq and Afghanistan. You argue that these engagements were wrong but that things in Syria are different now, and perhaps more comparable with the Balkans. I argue that they are not.

I have worked in Syria for many years and the idea of a western military engagement, especially if involving Turkish forces, fills me with awe. From my very personal point of view I assume that this would lead to a great escalation and very likely the big regional war which nobody wants but which came closer and closer during the past decade. Hopefully I'm wrong and this my personal judgement should not be the point to discuss here. I just want to make clear to you that I very much understand how the conflict is specific to Syria.

I think your whole argumentation about securing or defending western influence in the ME is flawed. In fact, our attempts to strengthen our influence during the past decade resulted mainly in a decline of western power. Again, although my personal attitude to wars is fundamentally negative, this does not mean that I do not understand that sometimes the use of force is necessary, and that some defensive forces are needed. Don't put Florian and me in the corner of people who say 'no' only because the military would be involved or because thing in other places went badly.

If you want to make comparisons, it is certainly true that the Balkans and the Middle East are completely different societies. As well, the second world war and the current situation in the Middle East are completely different worlds. Therefore any comparison between these scenarios are flawed and need no further discussion.

Afghanistan as a predominantly Muslim country is closer to Syria, but its extremely tribal society and pre-history of the Soviet invasion present a quite different context too. By the way, I argued in 2007 and 2008 in this forum that the Soviet occupation presented the best example to explain the problems of the NATO mission and remember to have argued with Florian whether the alliance should withdraw or stay. Now, after 4 more years with little achievements, few people would argue that we should stay longer in Afghanistan and I would not wonder if historians will judge that NATO suffered its 'Afghanistan' in 2001-2014 as the Soviets did before.

Probably, the most likely blueprint of how events in Syria might develop is Iraq. And in this context it is true that U.S. support in the 90ties for the rebels after the first gulf war might indeed have led to a profound regime change, and you can probably apply this pattern to Syria. However, keep in mind how difficult it still is to govern Iraq. We don't know how things would have developed if the older Bush had not been so cautious - but alas, perhaps he was right! The last king Faisal II. considered the country 'impossible to govern'. In Syria, things were not much better until Hafiz al-Assad took power. He restored stability with an iron fist, which the greater part of the population welcomed despite his ruthlessness and the limitations of freedom because he restored order after a long period of turmoil.

To summarize, I advise caution regarding the following points:

1) Don't overestimate the capability of our military to restore law and order in Syria. Not only Russian arms shipments to Syria let it seem likely that this conflict will escalate and be most difficult to control. Better have a small, long-term conflict that can be controlled than a big one that cannot be controlled any more.

2) Be careful when arguing that the Assad regime needs to be removed. Since we have no idea what comes after, there is a high possibility that things will only get worse. It is safer to work something out with the Assad regime, because its legitimacy is crippled to such a degree that it cannot continue with business as usual any more.

3) Make sure to respect international law. We must find agreement with Russia and China. If we violate international law again in another 'coalition of the willing', everybody on this planet will pay the price and things will get more barbaric.


Tags: | suf |
 
Tabish  Shah

June 13, 2012

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Dear Bernhard,

First, thanks for your response. Throughout you have raised interesting points but they have only been based on assertions. If you could propose an achievable solid, evidence-based non-military solution to the Syrian problem - I would support that.

To sum up:

1) I have proposed we merge interests with values to negotiate for defection of Syrian troops; the inclusion of Turkey with a substantial amount of responsibility within any intervention that takes place to circumvent issues of sectarianism or radicals having legitimacy in post-conflict politics. In response to concerns about Syria becoming an Afghanistan or Iraq, I also explained how the process of sectarianism works and warned against its overuse and use as a buzzword since Iraq and Afghanistan, and also for context to be understood - Syria has no natural resources and a NATO intervention to end civilian casualties involving Turkey makes it nearly impossible for interpretations that fuel mass level support for sectarian militia elites. Without commenting on the wrongness or rightness of those two operations, I explained why Iraq and Afghanistan were strategic failures once there and what to do to avoid the same pitfalls. I have stated that it is in our strategic interests to do so to allow for broader ME goals to be achievable and that way operations are carried out has an impact on the post-war influence you have and outlined practical ways for NATO allies to pursue that. I have not mentioned the Balkans, i think you're confused between myself and Jason Naselli's point.

2) The issues you have raised concerning law, although very important, do not move the discussion forward until you or someone else can rectify the core problem with international law at present - the fact that there is no way to implement the law itself legally. How to create a mechanism by which international law can actually be upheld is important and requires long-term consideration; however it is a theoretical discussion in this context and one that does not move things forward in Syria - which is now 15 months and counting.

3) You touched upon the idea of a political solution but again without a blueprint on how to go about reaching a sustainable one. Allowing Ahmedinijad's Iran and the Russian Gov't to maintain their foothold is an obstacle to NATO states' long-term interests. In any case, Al-Assad has no legitimacy, the Iranian gov't are not going to the table, and with Russia now delivering attack helicopters which al-Assad is using on civilians, the idea of a viable political bargain is highly unlikely.

 
Tabish  Shah

June 13, 2012

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That we shouldn't have been in Iraq and have exhausted political options first in Afghanistan doesn't need to be re-stated, the point was to learn from operational and strategic failures there.

Tabish
 
Unregistered User

July 25, 2012

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It started with US UK organised US/ EU sanctions driving the country in to conflict.
The US / EU have increased the pressure and spend with the intention of destroying Syria.
We are being berried alive with the various government Propaganda campaigns.
At what point are citizens in Europe justified in killing our Nato representatives and Politicians?
 

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