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November 27, 2007 |  4 comments |  Print  Your Opinion  

Misleading Statements On Missile Defense Imperil Transatlantic Security

Andreas Beckmann: The general public does not understand the advantages of a US ground-based missile defense system in Europe. Western politicians should be wary of making confusing public statements that could facilitate Russian and Iranian efforts to divide the Alliance.

NATO politicians have recently become rather quiet on the public discussion about US plans to build a missile tracking and fire-control radar in the Czech Republic, along with a corresponding launch site for ten interceptor missiles in Poland. This public silence, in combination with other factors, indicates a growing consensus among European NATO partners that the project is indeed vital, and that it should not be opposed, but rather complemented by European NATO efforts to close the remaining geographic and non-strategic protection gaps.

The project is unpopular, however, with the ill-informed general public in NATO member states in both Europe and North America. This explains both the current NATO silence—an apparent attempt by partners to pull the sensitive issue out of the public debate—and the ongoing Russian efforts to stimulate NATO domestic opposition against the project, through a mixture of spectacular public appeals and straightforward threats issued by high-ranking state representatives.

In this crucial and difficult phase for a key twenty-first century strategic defense project, leading Western politicians should be very careful about public statements that might further confuse NATO’s public, thus creating ideal focal points for Russian as well as Iranian efforts to mobilize democratic public opinion against what they conceive as NATO impediments to their offensive strategic objectives of dividing the Alliance.

Misleading Statements
Unfortunately, DefenseNews.com reported on November 14 that Rep. Ellen Tauscher, D-Calif., had issued statements claiming that the European ground-based missile defense site was “intended mainly to protect the United States, not Europe.” Rep. Tauscher, Chairman of the House Strategic Forces Subcommittee of the House Armed Services Committee, was elected Chair of the Subcommittee on Future Security and Defense Capabilities of the NATO Parliamentary Assembly in October, making her an even more prominent US actor on the issue. Thus the US Missile Defense Agency’s spokesman Rick Lehner was adamant in his response that the planned sites in Poland and the Czech Republic were “designed specifically to defend most of Europe,” and would have only “a redundant capability to defend the US”

So who is right here? Neither: both speakers are right and wrong at the same time, each in their own way. Both statements imperil the success of the project, much to the delight of its opponents within and outside NATO.

Missile Defense coverage with inceptor missiles in Poland
and a radar system in the Czech Republic:
Missile Defense

Missile Defense coverage without inceptor missiles and radar system in Europe: Missile Defense

A US Project, For Good Reason
At its conception, the current US concept for ground-based missile defense was designed to defend the US homeland against possible future strategic WMD attacks emanating from rogue states such as North Korea and Iran. The United States has so far invested more than 110 billion US taxpayer dollars into the project. The European allies, meanwhile, have paid nothing, despite many invitations to join in. Thus it should come as no surprise that the project’s primary objective is the defense of the US homeland and other US strategic objectives.

This is where Europe enters the picture: the protection of European NATO allies against nuclear blackmail is a vital strategic interest of the United States. An alliance divided, and a US isolated from its unprotected European allies in the event of future common security challenges, would directly threaten US national security in a fundamental way. In other words: the West can prevail against emerging threats to its common interest and security only if it remains undivided, which requires similar levels of protection for each key ally.

This is why the Bush Administration—in one of its deplorably few sound strategic assessments—decided to erect the first line of Atlantic, or East Coast, midcourse defense in Central Europe, despite offers by former British PM Tony Blair to welcome the systems in the UK, and despite the available technological option to base similar systems on US warships, or platforms in the Mediterranean and the North Atlantic. In other words: in order to protect both the US homeland and key strategic US allies in Europe, the Bush administration had to choose a land site located as far east towards Iran as technology permits, enabling it to protect most of Europe while allowing for sufficient time to track and engage a few incoming long-range missiles. It is self-evident that this choice of location is also in the vital interest of otherwise unprotected allies in Central and Western Europe.

Much Is At Stake
Undifferentiated and simplistic claims imperil the success of the project. The wrong impression that the planned system is designed only to protect the US will further undermine the essential European public support (also in terms of future European co-funding), and give Russia and Iran ideal arguments for driving their propaganda wedges deeper into the West. An equally wrong impression—that the system was designed primarily for the current European free-riders—after more than a decade of US development efforts will undermine crucial Congressional funding approvals in the US. Policymakers within NATO would be well-advised to abstain from misleading, albeit conciliatory, public statements.


Andreas Beckmann is a senior consultant at the Atlantic Initiative and a security analyst based in Berlin.

Both images originate from a presentation by Lieutenant General Henry Obering, director of the Missile Defense Agency.



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Tags: | NATO | Russia | Iran | missile defense system |
 
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Nikolas Kirrill Gvosdev

November 27, 2007

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Is the Defense News report accurate? If it is, then I have to say I am really concerned about Congresswoman Tauscher's apparent predisposition to say different things about the missile defense plans to different audiences, seemingly unaware that in today's globalized media environment what one says can be accessed anywhere in the world (pace Andreas' article here). When I was in Prague in September, several Czech officials said that they had been concerned about what Tauscher had been saying about missile defense but then felt they had received clarifications and what her definitive position was; but a statement like this would not go over well in the Czech Republic where there is already unease about the entire plan.
 
Andreas  Beckmann

November 28, 2007

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Nikolas, of course the main argument of my analysis rests on the assumption that the Defense News article is indeed accurate. If it were not, then one would have to apologize to both Rep. Tauscher and Mr. Lehner. However, I have so far seen no hint of a dementi, or any other contradicting statement by either quoted person.
While I am personally not inclined to speculate in public about Rep. Tauscher's and Mr. Lehner's motives, one should not forget that they both are on some sort of campaign trail these days: Rep. Tauscher will have to defend her seat in the House (and I understand that there are a couple of high-tech military enterprises in her constituency, who might profit from uncut missile defense funding....on the other hand, as a rather liberal Californian democrat, she might not really be a fan of the missile defense project in Europe). Lehner's employer is on the campaign trail in Europe, particularly in Poland and the Czech Republic, where respective majorities harbor sentiments against the installations planned for their countries.
In any event, and for all actors, individual concerns and interests might endanger the project as such. And IMHO it's a project that, in the long run, is *vital* for all of NATO and a key test to what extent the West is still united on major security issues, i. e. prepared to prevail in tomorrow's increasingly insecure world.
 
Donald  Stadler

February 15, 2008

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It's so0metimes very difficult to be an American, and things like the 'debate' over the missle sites are one of the causes.

It could be that the US missle defense will benefit from the sites in Poland and the Czech Republic; as an American I would certainly hope that those sites would increase the effectiveness of the US network by some amount, and that the Bush administration is not trying to do this out of sheer altruism. I judge complete altruism to be unlikely however.

It may well be that the coverage from the current US-researched and financed missle defense network will be better over North America than for Europe. There is an answer for that of course, Europe could build and deploy it's own network to improve coverage over Europe, or perhaps build and man sites to improve European coverage.

But the automatic opposition which many display to anything coming from the US is - wearying. Benn there, heard that too many times to counts - and many in the US are tired of it. Not 'tired and angry' - just tired. The thought of renouncing all responsibility for European defense is a seductive one given the circumstances.

However I do wish to thank Herr Beckmann for defending the US in this matter. He and others like him make one realise that all of Europe has not succumbed to hysteria - that rational Atlantacists still exist in Europe. Perhaps there is hope yet....
 
Unregistered User

July 16, 2010

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Is the only option for a missile defense the location at the Chez Republic and Poland?
As far as I remember, the Obama administration had also plans to built the missile defense systems components on sea--on ships, maybe AEGIS BDMs in the Meditterean Sea.Isn´t that another option?What about plans to built the missile defense with Russia--or has Russia as a precondition for that has to member of NATO?

Another question: What would happen, if the missile defense hits the incoming rocket over Europe?Wouldn´t that mean radioactive fallout and a contamination of Europe?Or is the logic: Better a fallout than a nuclear mushroom over Munich or Berlin?
 

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