Issues Navigator

Global Challenges

Strategic Regions

Domestic Debates

Tag cloud

See All Tags

July 22, 2011 |  3 comments |  Print  Your Opinion  

NATO's Partnerships and the "Arabellion"

Karl-Heinz Kamp: For decades, NATO favored stability over freedom in the Arab world. Now, the Alliance should support its partner countries with expertise to make their armed forces more effective in a democratic environment, especially in human rights training, international law, defense planning and border security.

One of the most overlooked success stories in NATO’s post-Cold War history is its ability to build partnerships with countries and organizations inside and outside Europe. These partnerships, initially designed as consolation for countries not admitted to NATO, have since evolved into a vital network of cooperation, ranging from collectively tackling new challenges to common military action. Few NATO initiatives have proven so effective in achieving political and military goals and improving NATO’s image across the world.

This is true even in the context of the ongoing developments in the Arab world. It is not by chance that the political changes in partner countries like Egypt or Tunisia have been much less violent than those in Libya or Syria, both of which have eschewed NATO partnership in the past. Apparently, exposure to a democratic institution like NATO has yielded fruit, particularly in the Arab military establishment.

But even flourishing projects require occasional reform, to avoid becoming victims of their own success. This holds particularly true for NATO’s partnerships in the Southern Mediterranean and Persian Gulf regions, subsumed under the acronym MENA (Middle East and Northern Africa).

NATO has been a player in the region for a long time. Through the Mediterranean Dialogue (MD) and the Istanbul Cooperation Initiative (ICI), the Alliance has provided military advice, training and a consolidated approach to new security challenges.

But the “Arabellion,” which came as a complete surprise not only for NATO, has revealed two weaknesses in the Alliance’s approach: first, all NATO members for a long time sacrificed their own values on the altar of realpolitik, which favored stability over democracy. Second, NATO never developed a vision for MENA’s long-term future.

This is no fingerpointing. For decades, the pragmatism of realpolitik was the only possible approach in such a politically sensitive region. The Arab Spring, however, requires new solutions. This does not mean that existing diplomatic structures need to be changed. The MD and the ICI are functioning, time-tested frameworks. But NATO’s mindset has to evolve with the times, in at least the following four respects:

  1. Get realistic. In the past, NATO had the ambitious goal of common crisis management between itself, the Arab League and the African Union. The Libya case, however, shows that the African Union and the Arab League are much less integrated than NATO and lack the will and capacity to maintain security in their own region.

  2. Don’t hope for more. The ongoing mission in Libya is not a model but a special case that evolved under unusual circumstances and pressure from several NATO members. Moreover, it has shown the limits of European military action without the full support of the United States. It is highly unlikely that NATO will rush to another stabilization mission, particularly since nation building in Libya will require the long term engagement of most NATO member states.

  3. Do what you do best. NATO can offer a host of expertise to make armed forces more effective and able to function in a democratic environment. Human rights training, international law, defense planning and border security are all areas of strength for NATO, and the Alliance must provide MENA with feedback on the best practices for the future.

  4. Be clear on your goals. All 28 NATO members should share a vision for the long term development of the region. This should include awareness that NATO is a democratic and value-based alliance. Yet the Alliance must also realize that the democratic process will not always have the result preferred by the outside world. NATO must understand that the people fighting in the streets stand not necessarily for its version of democracy, but for justice and prosperity on their own terms.

Most importantly, NATO is not the key player in the Arab Spring but those institutions like the EU which can provide an economic perspective. They must realize that the “Arabellion” is first and foremost an incredible chance for all of us and not a threat.

Karl-Heinz Kamp is the Research Director of the NATO Defense College in Rome. The author expresses his personal views.

For more about NATO partnerships, please see the following related articles:

  • 4
  •  
  •  
  • No rating possible
  • No rating possible
I like this Article! What's this?

 
 
Comments
Felix F. Seidler

July 23, 2011

  • 1
  •  
  •  
  • No rating possible
  • No rating possible
I like this comment! What's this?
Dear Dr. Kamp,

Thank you for your interesting insights. Your best point is that the Arabellion is no threat for us.

I would like to comment on your point that NATO may contribute to make MENA forces "more effective/able to function a democratic environment", because I consider the civil control over the military to be a very critical issue.

The best example therefore is Egypt, where we have no civil control over the military rather military control over the civil side. Furthermore, nobody knows what the post-Gaddafi Libyan military will look like. Hence, NATO has to push efforts strengthening the civil control over the military in the slowly growing Arab democracies. Particularly, parliamentary control over the military as part of the executive has to be enforced. NATO´s Parliamentary Assembly may contribute here.

With a look on the region I see one long term challenge and this is Saudi Arabia. We the saw the Saudi military intervention in Bahrain and nobody knows what the Saudi military is going to do when civil unrest may spread in Saudi Arabia. However, Saudi Arabia has not joined NATO´s Istanbul Cooperation Initiative yet. Thus, I consider it to be very important, with an eye on Saudi-Iranian tensions in addition, that NATO succeeds in integrating Saudi Arabia into the ICI.

 
Jennifer Nicole Prystupa

July 23, 2011

  • 2
  •  
  •  
  • No rating possible
  • No rating possible
I like this comment! What's this?
I would hope that Turkey could flex some of its NATO muscle in the MENA states, given its resurgence as a regional and technically secular power, which can appeal to the Arab Spring states and Western governments.
 
Greg Randolph Lawson

July 25, 2011

  • 1
  •  
  •  
  • No rating possible
  • No rating possible
I like this comment! What's this?
NATO has practically no role to play in the "Arab Spring." The role it is playing in LIbya is questionable. Strategically, Libya is a backwater other than oil. Interestingly, Qadaffi was actually selling plenty of oil to Europe before the sanctions were implemented.

According to the International Energy Agency,

"With an estimated domestic consumption of some 270 kb/d, Libya is a net‐exporter of oil. Europe receives over 85% of Libya’s crude exports, while about 13% heads East of Suez. In 2010 Libya exported 1.2 mb/d of crude oil to IEA countries. An additional 150 kb/d of crude oil from Libya went to China in 2010, accounting for some 3% of the total Chinese crude imports."

Check that, 85% of Libya's crude went to Europe before the Arab Spring, yet Europe decided to whack a mole? It's strategically unwise. What is to be gained? Europe looks weak and America looks like it is unwilling to be a leader, so it looks weak too. This will be the legacy of Libya. At a time of such internal economic challenges for the "Western" world, it seems folly to pursue such an unserious policy.

We can all deplore what Qadaffi was doing to his population, but it was and is a civil war. Additionally, Qadaffi, if he was so needing to be overthrown, should have been years ago, like after the Pan Am bombing. To go after him now makes little sense, especially in light of the far more strategic, and very similar, situation taking place in Syria.

Why isn't NATO trying to drive a wedge between Syria, Hezbollah and Iran. That's where the real game is in the region, not Libya.

However, the bottom line is this, NATO, as I have argued before, is about European stability, not out of theater operations. The efforts to use NATO outside of Europe have left much to be desired and is making the Atlantic Alliance look weaker than it should.

Scale back, focus on the essential and make sure that internal European problems don't blow up and that Russia never becomes too tempted to engage in revanchism (at least outside its normal and historical sphere of influence).

Stepping beyond this only risks highlighting the obvious, which is that the Atlantic Alliance is no longer what it once was. We should not be advertising that. We should be trying to minimize that realization in other regions as much as we can, even though its difficult to do.

Should we decide to risk these appearances, they should be for real strategic gains and not based on hazy concept like "Right to Protect" (R2P).

If someone can give me the realpolitik reasons for Libya, I'd be curious. I

 

Commenting has been deactivated in the archive. We appreciate your comments on our more recent articles at atlantic-community.org


Community

You are in the archive of all articles published on atlantic-community.org from 2007 to 2012. To read the latest articles from our open think tank and network with community members, please go to our new website