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May 11, 2012 |  2 comments |  Print  Your Research  

Term Paper: Return to the Empire

Gökhan Tekir: The paper analyzes how the Russian Federation uses energy as a foreign policy instrument. Russia’s main aim is to prevent Western interference in its sphere of influence. This is done by maintaining its hegemon position in supplying Caspian energy sources to Europe.

After the dissolution of the USSR, the Russian Federation considered itself as a natural heir to the empire. However, the new state lacked the military power that the Soviet Union once enjoyed. Thus, it tried to use the energy card as a foreign policy instrument. Conflicts in the South Caucasus and Central Asia reflected Russia's concern in maintaining its influence over energy resources.

The effectiveness of playing the energy card depended to a large extent on the power of the administration. During Boris Yeltsin's presidency, energy companies owned by the oligarchs could not fulfill their duties as foreign policy actors. In many cases, they acted in conformity with the Western world.

On the other hand, Vladimir Putin transformed these companies into an apparatus of the state and re-asserted Russia's dominant position in Central Asia. And through the use of bilateral agreements, Russia also prevented Western powers from establishing a coherent energy policy.

Gökhan Tekir is a political science student at Bilkent University, Ankara.

 
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Tags: | energy | EU | Europe | Russia | energy politics |
 
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Isabelle  Natalie Siqu Summerson

May 16, 2012

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Hi Gokhan,

I am in complete agreement with you. Furthermore, I think the US was one of the first to realise this and since the early 1990's has tried, through various approaches, to reduce Russia's ability to 'play the energy card'. However, the US's attempts have largely failed because Moscow has outmaneuvered it in Central Asia and, through Gazprom, has forged close ties with important European figures.

How do you see the US's role in the situation?

Kind regards,

Isabelle Summerson - Sydney, Australia
 
Gökhan  Tekir

May 16, 2012

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Thank you for your comment Isabelle. You correctly pointed out that the USA followed an active engagement in 1990s to diversify the energy routes for Central Asian energy sources. However, Russia in today is not similar with Russia in 1990s. It almost gained its dominant position over Central Asian countries and controls the delivery of energy sources.
Although Russia has geopolitical advantage, the USA preserves its ability to shape the oil prices. The USA used this leverage in 1980s to lower the oil prices by pressuring Gulf states to increase their daily production. The Soviet economy was severely hit with this situation. Considering the effect of Afghanistan war on the economy of the Soviet Union, the drop in the oil prices contributed greatly to the collapse of the Soviet Union. After the collapse of the Soviet Union, the USA put too much hope to establish market economy in Russia but it failed because of domestic resistance of Russian siloviki group. The USA recognized the de facto Russian supremacy over Central Asia and South Caucasus. The contact with Russians to set military bases in some Central Asian countries, the lack of support given to Georgia in 2008 war are the indicators of the USA changing position.
I also think threat perception of the USA has changed after the rapid rise of China. China is perceived more threatening for the USA than Russia. Thus, the USA needs a strong Russia in Central Asia which would be able to prevent China from including Central Asia under its sphere of influence. China which secures the energy supply to its country will inevitably challenge the super-power status of the USA. But China which is dependent on energy sources extracted from the US allied countries would not be effective in turning its economic power to political power. I do not expect Russia to become a strict ally of the USA but Russia and the USA have a common agenda to exclude China from Central Asian resources.
 

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