In the first decade of the 21st century Russia finds itself at a historic junction. No longer a great power, Russia appears to be a country at the crossroads of modernity, in the face of both challenges and opportunities. This article analyzes Russia's standing along four dimensions typically associated with the traditional notion of power on the international stage: demography, military force, economy and governance. In each one of these categories, Russia has made some progress, but it is unclear in which direction Russia is developing. In order to understand whether negative or positive trends will prevail in the future, it is important to take a holistic approach.
Maxim Miroshnikov is an M.A. student in International Studies at Old Dominion University.



October 19, 2011
Regina Bakhteeva, University of Bologna, Silver Contributor (52)
Thank you for your paper. I think it presents a comprehensive overview of problems that currently beset Russia. Examination of challenges and opportunities along the four dimensions was a very good choice to structure your paper. While I would agree with most of your arguments, there is at least one passage in your work that I find not very convincing. And that is the alarmist mood when it comes to Chinese settling in Russia’s Far East.
As I am sure, you are aware there are voices in Russia that warn about the Chinese taking over Russia’s territory. But is this fear grounded? I see nothing wrong in migrants coming to places to work where there is clearly a lack of local labour force. As you were right to point out, many Russians have left the Far East. But why is it necessary to revert the trend, so that Russians would come back to the Far East and the Chinese would leave it? In this respect I would suggest to consider the arguments developed in a book The Siberian Curse by Fiona Hill and Clifford Gaddy. Given that the Soviet planning distorted the geography of Russian economy, I am inclined to interpret the trend when Russians move away from the Far East as redressing these distortions.
Overall, I enjoyed reading your paper. I would concur with your main conclusion. Despite its aspirations and claims to be a great power, Russia is out of this league. But why do you not take your conclusion further? Does actually Russia need to be a great power? May be it is time for Russia to reconcile itself with the fact that it has lost its great power status.
Regards,
Regina