Issues Navigator

Global Challenges

Strategic Regions

Domestic Debates

Tag cloud

See All Tags

May 17, 2010 |  2 comments |  Print  Your Opinion  

Targeting Iran's Revolutionary Guard

Shirin Mohammadi: Imposing targeted sanctions on Iran’s Revolutionary Guard is more likely to hurt the broader Iranian public and not likely to achieve the ultimate goal of moderating the regime’s behavior.

In the aftermath of the 1979 Islamic Revolution, Ayatollah Khomeini established the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) to protect the ideologies of the Islamic Revolution from foreign and domestic threats. After the Iran-Iraq war, the IRGC was involved in modest postwar reconstruction efforts and eventually emerged as a dominant player in large infrastructure development projects. It has since extended its economic influence into the oil and gas sectors and entered the consumer goods market at the expense of private enterprises. The IRGC's monopolization of key sectors displaces traditional business elites and compromises incentives in the marketplace that would otherwise increase efficiency and long term growth. Today, the Revolutionary Guard reaches into nearly every sector of the economy; it manufactures cars, runs laser eye-surgery clinics, builds roads and bridges, develops gas and oil fields, constructs pipelines, and controls black market transactions. While the IRGC's role in the post-election crackdown and its involvement in the nuclear program make it an ideal target for sanctions, this approach is more likely to hurt the broader Iranian public.

Since Mahmoud Ahmadinejad took office in 2005, companies affiliated with the Revolutionary Guard have been awarded hundreds of no-bid government contracts in oil, gas, and construction projects. All of the IRGC's finances are free from state enterprise. Companies affiliated with the Guard are large enough to underbid competitors and are generally favored in the bidding process for large contracts. A lack of transparency in the IRGC creates room for widespread corruption, compromises consumer surplus, and creates a deadweight loss in the Iranian economy.

Khatam al-Anbia (Ghorb), one of the largest and most powerful contractors in Iran, is directed by a council of high ranking members of the Revolutionary Guard and chaired by the IRGC's commander in chief; it is considered the IRGC's major engineering arm. According to its website, Ghorb has received over 750 contracts in numerous construction projects including dams, water diversion systems, highways, tunnels, buildings, heavy-duty structures, and water, gas, and oil pipelines. Some of the most prominent Ghorb subsidiaries now direct tunnel construction and excavation projects throughout the country and work on Tehran's metro system.

Today, the IRGC's role in the Iranian economy is comparable to both an artificial monopoly, because it can drive all of its competitors out of the market, and to a natural monopoly, because trade sanctions on the Iranian business class creates a cost advantage for the Revolutionary Guards who maintain exclusive control over factor inputs through the underground economy and black market. Furthermore, the IRGC has access to and dominance over the country's most advanced technological undertakings. This technological superiority creates another barrier to entry and impedes private-sector growth. The IRGC does not face many of the short-run variable costs that its private-sector competitors may face. It runs its own trade ports and is not subject to import or export tariffs, it thrives off the black market, and it maintains cheap access to indivisible inputs. A lower average total cost curve allows the IRGC to provide its services at significantly lower prices, compromising the competitive nature of the market.

Iran's convoluted political and economic situation requires an innovative policy approach by Washington. Rather than focusing on further punitive sanctions, the Obama administration should move forward with its policy of engagement. To prove its commitment to change, the administration should offer to drop existing sanctions that hinder trade with Iran's private sector in exchange for cooperation on the nuclear front. These trade sanctions create barriers to entry for the private sector and ultimately strengthen the IRGC's monopolistic grip on the economy. Whereas imposing targeted sanctions on the IRGC could hurt the broader Iranian public, lowering variable costs for Iran's private sector and providing it with greater access to low cost inputs would facilitate the process of subverting the IRGC's monopoly in the Iranian economy. Integrating Iran into the international community through trade and empowering its private sector is more likely to result in gradual change in the regime's behavior and would create a mutually beneficial environment of gains from trade. While a successful sanctions approach that entails broad adherence could further damage Iran's already fragile economy, a targeted sanctions approach against an entity that thrives off the black market and holds a near monopolistic grip in many sectors is more likely to hurt the broader Iranian public and unlikely to achieve the ultimate goal of moderating the regime's behavior.

Shirin Mohammadi is the daughter of a former Iranian diplomat.She has  a double B.A. in International Politics and French from George Mason University and is now an M.A. Candidate at the School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS-Johns Hopkins). Mohammadi works as an independent Consultant on Iran-related issues.

Related Articles:

  • 0
  •  
  •  
  • No rating possible
  • No rating possible
I like this Article! What's this?

 
 
Comments
Oliver L. Barrett

May 24, 2010

  • 1
  •  
  •  
  • No rating possible
  • No rating possible
I like this comment! What's this?
Shirin,

I like your approach --

"Integrating Iran into the international community through trade and empowering its private sector is more likely to result in gradual change in the regime's behavior and would create a mutually beneficial environment of gains from trade."

I think the narrative of Iran being an irrational, war bent civilization needs to be debunked and the West ought to take more pragmatic approach that centers upon economic inter-dependance. The same kind of rhetoric that is used towards Iran today, is similar to the language used about China a few years back --- Hmmm, I wonder what caused the change?

Don't get me wrong, I think Iran deserves a more progressive andleader than Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, but I don't think that velification and the drumbeat towards sanctions- war does us any good.

Great article though -- oliver
 
Sohail   Arshad

June 25, 2010

  • 0
  •  
  •  
  • No rating possible
  • No rating possible
I like this comment! What's this?
Shirin's is article is well researched and offers indepth analysis of the reach of the revolutionary guards into the administration.
aims4success@rediffmail.com
india
Tags: | revolutionary guards | shirin |
 

Commenting has been deactivated in the archive. We appreciate your comments on our more recent articles at atlantic-community.org


Community

You are in the archive of all articles published on atlantic-community.org from 2007 to 2012. To read the latest articles from our open think tank and network with community members, please go to our new website