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US Will Not Lose Its Leadership Role in Southeast Asia

Cao Yunhua & Chen Jianrong, Inst. for Security & Development Policy | November 2011

The emergence of China as a global power has fundamentally changed the geo-political landscape of Southeast Asia. China, US and Japan are making significant efforts to cooperate and work in tandem with ASEAN to "maintain peace, stability and prosperity in the region". As this report by the Institue for Security and Development illustrates, Southeast Asia represents, in many ways, a battleground in which several regional powers are vying for economic and political influence.

Investment and trade are the main characteristics of Chinese involvement in Southeast Asia. Financing major infrastructure projects and opening up trade have been on China's list of priorities as a result of which China still lags behind Japan and the US in terms of soft power influence. China may be ASEAN's largest trading partner, but its political and cultural presence in the region is not very pronounced.

Although China has made significant gains in establishing close ties with its Southern neighbors, the United States has continued to make significant progress in cultivating multilateral relations with emerging Asian economies. US influence in Southeast Asia is primarily cultural and political. Major transnational corporations have been acting as the face of American culture, disseminated through America products. At the same time, a plurality of ASEAN political leaders have studied and worked in the US, helping cultivate strong US-ASEAN relations.

Japan may also be quickly losing ground in Asia as its economic and political authority wanes in the face of China's rapid rise, but it is using its existing networks and strong economic ties to the region to promote business and trade. As the single largest contributor of foreign aid to the region, Japan remains at the forefront of development efforts in the Southeast Asia.

ASEAN has managed to uphold a balanced policy towards all the three players engaged in "soft power competition" over Southeast Asia. Although ASEAN needs China to accelerate its economic power, "the majority of ASEAN countries...do not want to see China dominate the region". Therefore ASEAN political leaders continue to perceive the US as a counterbalance against a potential security threat from China. Given the amount of trust and goodwill towards America in the region, the US should use this opportunity to cement its leadership status in Southeasia Asia while continuing to work towards common goals with China and Japan.

This summary was written by Yan Matusevich, an editor at atlantic-community.org. Read the full report entitled "Changing Southeast Asia: The Role of China, the United States, Japan and ASEAN" by clicking here.

 

 

 
 
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Adam  Thew

Tue, Nov 22nd 2011, 01:53

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Thanks for the very interesting report. I'd be interested to hear your thoughts on to what extent the competition for economic and 'soft power' influence between the US, China and Japan in Southeast Asia has had (or is likely to have) on aiding the development of a nascent 'international society' in Southeast Asia.

Whilst ASEAN cooperation has traditionally been based firmly on the principles of mutual non-interference and the primacy of national sovereignty, the opportunities provided by increasing external competition for influence in the region could perhaps provide the basis for increased regional cooperation and strengthening of a regional 'international society' in the context of the 'English school' definition of the term. If so, what form do you see this increased cooperation taking?

Kind Regards

Adam Thew
 
Jason  Naselli

Tue, Nov 22nd 2011, 15:30

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I'll step in for Yan here. We've actually had an interesting perspective on some of the organizing principles of the international community in the Pacific as part of our theme week. Here, Liselotte Odgaard argued that China is actually trying to build a new international order that strengthens the national sovereignty regime, rather than breaks it down.

http://www.atlantic-community.org/index/articles/view/China%27s_Alt...

It's a very hegemonic look at things, but it illustrates that competition in the Pacific could really go both ways, either strengthening or breaking down a cooperative regional network and 'society of states'. In any case, the prevailing order in Asia is likely to be a reaction to these competitive moves by influential powers, rather than a unilateral effort designed by ASEAN cooperation or other regional apparatuses.
 

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