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Open Think Tank Articles

May 23, 2012 | The Baghdad Talks: Setting the Pieces for the Next Round

Sami Kronenfeld: Representatives from the US, Europe, Russia, and China are meeting with their Iranian counterparts to discuss Iran’s nuclear program. The talks can only be successful if Europe and the US reach an agreement with Russia and China on what to do if Iran does not follow international agreements.

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April 2, 2012 | The Psychological Aspects of the Nuclear Conflict with Iran

Bernhard Lucke: The actual conflict with Iran is very much centered on the symbolic issue of nuclear enrichment. However, this misses the depth and history of the conflict. In particular, the psychological aspects of the confrontation between Iran and Israel should be considered more.

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March 14, 2012 | Moscow Keeps a Wary Eye on Obama's New Defense Strategy

Valery Konyshev and Alexander Sergunin: Russia welcomes some aspects of the new US defense strategy, such as departing from the doctrine of being able to fight two major wars simultaneously and spending less on nuclear weapons. However, Moscow still has concerns about the new strategy when it comes to such diverse areas as the Arctic region, Iran, missile defense, and cyberwarfare.

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February 21, 2012 | Opening a Novel Chapter in US-Russian Arms Control

Tomas A. Nagy: Close to a year ago, the New START Treaty took effect. While the treaty extends beyond 2012, there is further room for activity this year. However, Moscow and Washington must first overcome differences over missile defense and how to categorize certain nuclear weapons.

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February 8, 2012 | Iran Standoff Should Spell End of Nuclear Hypocrisy

Jason Naselli: Demands that Iran (or anyone else) not seek nuclear weapons are hard to swallow while the US clings to so many. The only real solution for solving problems like Iranian proliferation is a legitimate nuclear regime that treats all countries equally. This means getting more serious about disarmament.

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September 30, 2011 | It's Too Early to Write an Obituary for Al Qaeda

Shanthie Mariet D’Souza & Bibhu Prasad Routray : As more high-ranking Al Qaeda leaders are eliminated, officials in Washington appear increasingly confident about their progress in dismantling the terrorist network. Contrary to this assessment, Al Qaeda remains far from defeat. The US cannot afford to get complacent.

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March 16, 2011 | Earthquakes: Iran not Safe for Nuclear Energy

Gerlinde Gerber: Following the catastrophe in Fukushima it is time to add a new dimension to the already controversial discussion about the Iranian nuclear program. This should serve as further push for the international community to strengthen its efforts to halt Iranian nuclear development.

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May 31, 2010 | The Way to Denuclearize the World

Alexandra Dobra: The apparent obligation of all States to ratify the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) faces three antagonistic variables; namely the State sovereignty, the global anarchy and the economic prospects.

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May 25, 2010 | Opening the Door to Great Power Conflict?

Greg Randolph Lawson: At the end of the Second World War it would have taken a great leap of faith to believe that Great Power conflict would end and that major industrialized nations would not fight amongst themselves. However, this is for the most part what has transpired. Have we seen the last of the balance of power struggles?

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May 5, 2010 | Brazil and the Bomb

Hans Rühle: Brazil is almost certainly developing nuclear weapons. The country’s earlier nuclear weapons programs and the policy of President Lula da Silva’s government suggest that Brazil’s quest for power and international recognition will ultimately lead her to discard her commitment to non-proliferation and put an end to President Obama’s vision of a world free of nuclear weapons.

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March 22, 2010 | Improving India's Nuclear Standing

Manasi Kulkarni-Kakatkar: India’s nuclear relations with world’s big powers have caused a great deal of friction. Next month’s Nuclear Security Summit is a chance for India to show its commitment to non-proliferation and to be a leader of setting up mechanisms for securing nuclear materials.

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January 25, 2010 | Watching the Clock

Frank O'Donnell: On January 14, the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists repositioned its ‘Doomsday Clock’ by only one minute, from five to six minutes to midnight. This incremental adjustment symbolizes the global uncertainty regarding the future of the nonproliferation regime.

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January 22, 2010 | Accepting American Hegemony

Jerome Grossman: A world without nuclear weapons would do much in terms of security, but more so, it would enhance and protect the superpower status of the United States. Giving up nuclear weapons and accepting US hegemony may be the price humanity must pay to avert the threat of total annihilation.

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October 12, 2009 | Iran and the NPT: "Some Animals are more equal than others"

Andreas Michael Bock: Iran is legally entitled to posses nuclear WMD - not inspite, but because of the NPT. The international treaty claims to apply equally to all contracting parties, but numerous exceptions have been made in the past. Then why should the NPT apply to Iran?

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September 3, 2009 | An End in Itself - Focus on First Steps!

Memo 19: A nuclear free world is an idealistic objective, but the aspiration towards it is an end in itself. The pursuit of Global Zero will discourage further nuclear proliferation. Atlantic-Community.org members recommend to focus on primary and intermediate steps towards nuclear abolition and not the ultimate goal of global zero.

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August 25, 2009 | Zero Nuclear Weapons: a Feasible Goal?

Robert G. Gard: Global Zero is dependent on compliance, which in turn relies on mutual trust between states in the international system that weapons will not be concealed. This appears remote and subsequently so too does the feasibility of such a goal as complete nuclear disarmament.

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August 19, 2009 | Tactical Nuclear Weapons in Russian Foreign Policy

Claudine Lamond: The different role of tactical nuclear weapons (TNWs) in Russia and the United States will be a major challenge to their bilateral disarmament efforts. Whereas US TNWs are mainly political in nature, Russian tactical nuclear weapons are more fundamental to its military doctrine.

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August 19, 2009 | Not Just Feasible, Imperative!

Paul M. Carroll: In today’s world, nuclear weapons have become a liability rather than an asset. These arms present risks in and of themselves and should not be retained by anyone. Thus, efforts to reduce and then eliminate nuclear weapons are not only feasible, but imperative.

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August 18, 2009 | Controlling Loose Nukes

Kenneth N. Luongo: A prerequisite for the abolition of nuclear weaponry is that international leaders must effectively and comprehensively address the evolving global nuclear dangers of the 21st century. Thus, they should launch a Nuclear Security Initiative, that would include a comprehensive suite of next-generation nuclear security policies and tools.

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August 10, 2009 | The Case for Limited Disarmament

Wolfgang Fischer: The desire for complete nuclear disarmament is as old as nuclear weapons themselves. But a nuclear weapon-free world is a visionary project for a world still to come. While arms control is necessary, this must only go to a certain level.

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July 17, 2009 | A Nightmare: Obama Wants Nuclear Disarmament

Thomas Speckmann: The nuclear disarmament talks between Obama and Medvedev have been much celebrated, but the reality is not so rosy. Instead of a reduction in overall weapons, the talks signal a shift from nuclear to conventional weapons that could be much more dangerous in the long run as conventional rearmament could increase the number of bloody conflicts.

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March 3, 2009 | US Nuclear Weapons in Europe Are Obsolete

Claudine Lamond: The argument that US nuclear weapons in Europe are essential to security provision is losing its persuasion force. NATO’s Strategic Concept (2009) is an opportunity to reassess the idea that the presence of US nuclear weapons in Europe enhances European security.

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August 28, 2008 | Weapons of Mass Destruction and the World Order

Herbert Maier: The unilateral approach to nonproliferation is commonly tied to President George W. Bush, but in fact it was already visible in the early 1990s. The Bush administration was more a catalyst than an initiator of this change in US strategy.

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July 2, 2008 | Renewing NATO's Nuclear Strategy

Fabian Martin Lieschke: NATO’s nuclear posture is dated and needs to be reconsidered during next year’s review. If NATO withdraws sub-strategic nuclear weapons from Europe it can pursue a leverage strategy to persuade Russia to also eliminate its tactical nuclear weapons.

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June 1, 2008 | We Can Not Afford to Delay Nuclear Disarmament

Daryl Kimball: The next US president must take action towards nuclear disarmament in three distinct areas. He or she must pursue reductions in US and Russian nuclear arsenals, work towards ratifying the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty, and reassess and reduce the role of nuclear weapons.

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May 22, 2008 | The Renaissance of Nuclear Deterrence

Thomas Speckmann: By highlighting the following dilemma “the Iranian bomb or the bombing of Iran”, Sarkozy signalled the return to a strategy of nuclear deterrence. Since the West’s most dreaded scenario is the nuclearization of the Middle East, calls to prevent Iran from acquiring the atomic bomb are becoming ever more frequent.

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Global Must Read Articles

July 28, 2010 | EU Tries to Get Iran to Talk

With new sanctions in place, the European Union is attempting to get Iran back to the table for talks on its nuclear program. ++ “A new diplomatic window of opportunity” is opening at the end of Ramadan, as EU High Representative Catherine Ashton plans to meet with the Iranians in Istanbul. ++ Up to now, Iranian proposals have constituted no more than a smoke screen. ++ As a result, there are

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July 31, 2009 | US Politics of Engagement Will Not Succeed

President Obama’s engagement with US’ adversaries is failing. ++ North Korea and Iran responded to America’s politics of dialogue by testing nuclear weapons and commencing nuclear enrichment. ++ “Obama’s diplomatic hand has been extended for a while now…fists remain clenched.” ++ These oppressive regimes are internally too preoccupied to respond to US rapprochement.

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July 7, 2009 | The World Must Be Ready If North Korean Regime Collapses

While North Korea’s autocrat, Kim Jong Il, prepares
for a transition of power, international experts are racking their brains to
determine all possible future political scenarios in the region. Will Kim Jong
Il’s successor establish a more humanitarian system or will the entire regime
come crashing down on the heels of its current iron-fisted dictator. These are
certainly only two of the

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June 11, 2009 | China is the Middleman Between US and North Korea

North Korea’s latest missile attacks and their withdrawal from the armistice with the US could escalate to become a new chapter of the Korean war. ++ “The combination of aggressive behavior and succession questions is a dangerous mixture.” ++ Both North and South Korea have reasons to avoid a new war. ++ Though the US has largely refrained from “sabre rattling,” if a new conflict did break out

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May 19, 2009 | Speaking Softly With Israel Risks a Catastrophe

Israel is determined to prevent an Iranian nuclear bomb, even with military strike. ++ Such an act of preventive aggression would have disastrous consequences: it would end all Iranian hesitations to build a bomb; the Middle East would be in an uproar, with popular discontent also targeting the USA, ending Obama’s attempt at easing relations; and Israel’s popular support in the West would be

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January 30, 2009 | Obama Must Maintain Flexibility With Iran

It is crucial that Obama stays true to his promise of a fresh approach towards Iran, as the country wields significant influence over the wider Middle East region. ++ Persuading Iran to end its uranium enrichment program through dialog should begin as soon as possible. ++ Some important foundations for transparent democracy are in place, despite the country’s theocratic rule: the sizable body

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December 16, 2008 | Pakistan Should Save its Economy By Giving Up Bomb

Kazakhstan, Belarus, Ukraine and South Africa all voluntarily gave up nuclear stockpiles. ++ Pakistan should do the same. ++ The US should offer the Pakistani government the $100bn it has asked for over a 10 year period, along with jet fighters, tanks and attack helicopters. ++ The US has plans to extend its nuclear umbrella to Israel; why not to Pakistan as well? ++ Controlling Pakistan would

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November 4, 2008 | Upgrading US Nuclear Weapons Arsenal

America could prevent proliferation ambitions around the world by upgrading its own nuclear weapons arsenal. ++ Congressional funding would allow for building safer and more reliable arms. ++ The proposed “Reliable Replacement Warhead Program,” intends for the US and Russia to reduce their nuclear weapons without having to test replacement warheads. ++ The next president should

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August 21, 2008 | Russia's Nuclear Threat

In the discussion of US-Russian relations, one element has been overlooked: the shift in the nuclear balance. ++ After the cold war both powers agreed to reduce their tactical nuclear arsenal, but Russia started from a much higher level and still has 10 times the number of weapons held by the US. ++ This disparity is alarming because the weapons not only play a huge role in the rhetoric of

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August 4, 2008 | Bombing Iran Would be a Catastrophe for All of Us

His presidency coming to an end, Bush becomes obsessed with his legacy and solving the issue of nuclear Iran is foremost in his mind. ++ If he decides to support Israel in its possible attack on Iran, the economic and political costs would be disastrous: oil prices would soar, terrorist attacks worldwide would follow, and the possibility of any dialogue between Iran and the West would be ruined

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July 28, 2008 | Israel is Likely to Follow US Lead on Iran

Israel faces a dilemma: If European diplomacy fails to halt Iran’s uranium enrichment program and Americans prove reluctant to launch another war in the Middle East under Bush, should Israel strike alone? ++ An attack could dangerously unite Iranians behind their president and influence the presidential race in the US. ++ But Israeli leaders believe in an emergency - estimates suggest Iran could

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July 22, 2008 | Iran Hasn't Earned a Détente

The Bush administration has recently shifted its approach toward Iran and is treating it with unjustified leniency: the possibility of reopening a diplomatic mission in Tehran and face-to-face meetings are gestures Iran hasn’t earned. ++ Tehran continues with its uranium enrichment program, tests missiles capable of reaching Europe, sponsors terrorism in Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, and Gaza and

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July 16, 2008 | Let's Not Pretend We Make Progress on North Korea

Despite hopeful voices that the six-party talks are on a good way to contain Korean nuclear program, Kim Jong Il gives us no reason to believe he really intends to give up his nuclear weapons. ++ Korean concessions are merely publicity stunts. ++ Symbolically, there were traces of uranium on the very documents submitted to D.C. in which Korea declared to come clean of their program. ++ Taking

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July 15, 2008 | US Should Help Israel if it Strikes Iran

The situation in the Middle East is past the point when sanctions and diplomatic talks can still make a difference. ++ The Islamic Republic is not going to yield, it is simply playing for time while trying to produce deliverable nuclear weapons. ++ Instead of insisting on the measures which apparently do not work, the US should consider helping Israel if it decides to strike Iran or at least not

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July 9, 2008 | US-India Nuclear Pact is Back on the Table

The US-India nuclear pact, declared “almost certainly dead” last month, will probably be signed by the Indian government after all. ++ The onus of getting it implemented is therefore back on the US. ++ Congress must stop pressuring India into backing US policy on Iran. ++ India shouldn’t have to choose between good relations with itself and Tehran. ++ PM Manmohan Singh will not agree to toe

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July 1, 2008 | Israel Threatens to Attack Iran

Israeli government claims the extent of the Iranian threat is being underplayed and that no diplomatic pressure can prevent Iranians getting nuclear weapons. ++ Shaul Mofaz, member of Israel’s security cabinet, announced last week that “attacking Iran, in order to stop its nuclear plans, will be unavoidable.” ++ Despite Israel’s skepticism, the only solution is diplomacy and sanctions. ++ Present

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June 30, 2008 | US Should Stop Ever-Expanding Nuclear Appetites!

Iran and North Korea are trying to develop nuclear capabilities and to many other countries, pursueing a military nuclear program has become an attractive option. ++ The US should stop denying any relationship between those developments and what they do with their own nuclear weapons. ++ An initiative of security experts Schultz, Kissinger, Perry, and Nunn is therefore calling for a world free of

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June 26, 2008 | West Must Prevent Israel Attacking Iran

Despite positive developments between Israel and many of its adjacent neighbors, the increasing frequency with which Israel speaks of attacking Iran must not be ignored by the West. ++ Israel either truly plans to attack and “is preparing the ground, militarily and politically,” or it is trying to “spur the rest of the world into action.” ++ The West must act now, before Israel does anything that

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June 24, 2008 | US Nukes Are Not Secure in Europe

Some of the 350 US nuclear bombs in the EU are stored at host air bases. ++ A report concludes security standards were not met, and “support buildings, fencing, lighting and security systems” need improvement. ++ The storage of nukes in Europe has always been controversial, and sometimes kept secret - in Belgium for example. ++ The issue of security standards in Europe provided for renewed

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June 19, 2008 | US Paints a False yet Alarming Picture of Russia

The USA is not performing the transition to conventional weapons, which was meant to lessen the country’s dependence on nuclear weapons for defense. ++ US politicians and media are using the claim that Russia is boosting its military spending to justify the maintenance of the American nuclear arsenal. ++ Yet, even Russian generals are talking about the “weakness of Russia’s nuclear

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June 10, 2008 | Bush and Olmert Exploit the Iranian Threat

Bush and Olmert’s allusions to war with Iran are the result of their foreign and domestic policy predicaments. ++ Both leaders need to create a diversion to save themselves politically, and “if either - or both - should order a military strike against Iran, it will not be because Iran has done anything that could seriously threaten either Israel or the US.” ++ Since Iran has thus far remained a

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May 29, 2008 | US Iran Policy Requires More Flexibility

Iran cannot be prevented from acquiring nuclear power capabilities. ++ The US should therefore favor negotiation with the regime over the current threats and sanctions driven policy which merely provides for hostile relations. ++ Since “a successful approach to Iran has to accommodate its security interests and ours,” strategic deterrence should prove effective. ++ Additionally, cooperation could

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May 14, 2008 | Nuclearization has not Benefitted India

India’s ascension as a nuclear weapon state ten years ago was a mistake. ++ Fallacious confidence in the doctrine of deterrence has had the opposite effect, encouraging reckless behavior in Kashmir and strengthening Pakistan’s military leadership, making South Asia more volatile. ++ The ensuing arms race with Pakistan and China has been funded at the expense of the social-sector, and led to a

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May 14, 2008 | US Tries to Cover Up Its Nuclear Ambitions

The National Nuclear Security Administration announced the US had reduced its nuclear warheads stockpile. ++ Yet the US continues to upgrade its nuclear arsenal which is the world’s largest. ++ Since the US has not ratified the Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty, and has never committed to “No First Use of Nuclear Weapons,” US policies could lead to an arms race with

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April 28, 2008 | Slow Negotiation for Denuclearization in North Korea

Having unwisely abandoned the 1994 Clinton deal that kept North Korea from producing plutonium, the Bush administration’s shift from past confrontational rhetoric is promising. ++ A first step is the assessment of plutonium production capacity thanks to disablement of Yongbyon reactor. ++ Easing of vilification and sanctions together with bipartisan support in the US are necessary to get

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March 27, 2008 | Russia is an Offender in the Nuclear Arms Race

Israel’s legitimate nuclear program is not a valuable excuse for Russia to jeopardize international security by supplying a reactor to Iran and by agreeing on nuclear cooperation with
Egypt. ++ The international community should strive to prevent unstable democracies from acquiring nuclear weapons, acknowledge that Iran is not just a threat to Israel but to the world, and hold Russia

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March 25, 2008 | US Needs to be Prepared for a Nuclear Attack

As nuclear weapons’ materials increase on black market, US needs to modernize forensics tools in preparation for a potential attack. ++ International collaboration and a shared
database are essential. ++ A group of independent experts is necessary to validate any US analysis. ++ US leaders need to recognize limitations of forensics and how to handle situation when information isn’t

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March 19, 2008 | Bush Cannot Bequeath a Failed North Korea Policy

The protracted Six Party Talks dating back from 2003 enabled Kim Jong-il to gain time and repeatedly violate commitments. ++ If the instrumental support of Russia and China is secured, Bush should dedicate the next 10 months to rectifying concessions by exercising economic and international pressure on North Korea. ++ Nuclear weapons will still be a threat but this would salvage US original

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March 11, 2008 | The Illusion of a Nuclear-Free World

Nuclear weapons with their incomparable destructive capacity are the determining center of international power. ++ As technological forces are increasingly being associated with national security and success, defenders of disarmament are losing ground. ++ In the face of this global trend towards “weaponisation,” it is high time India gave up the illusion of a nukes-free world and made a priority

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December 7, 2007 | Demolishing the Bush Administration's Myths about the US Nuclear Posture

Jeffrey Lewis of the New America Foundation takes a look behind the Bush administration’s boasting of having cut the size of the nation’s nuclear stockpile, while attempting to modernize the US arsenal.
Thus, despite recent claims, there are still up to 6,000 nuclear weapons, about a third of which are on Cold War alert levels. Instead of keeping nuclear forces to a minimum level, capabilities

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September 21, 2007 | Israel's Air Force Raid on Syria. Its Silence. And What It All Means.

Wall Street Journal columnist Bret Stephens breaks down the intrigue surrounding Israel’s military operations over Syria on September 6. “In a country of open secrets,” Israel’s customary fleet of spokesmen and pundits has remained conspicuously silent, says Stephens. But why? None of the explanations circulating in the news media—the theory that North Korea was using Syria as a safe

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Comments

March 28, 2011 | @Nabi: Fairness? Seriously? Poor Tehran,...

January 22, 2010 | Dear Greg, Your analyses seem to cover the...

November 6, 2009 | Nuclear weapons do not serve as a deterrent to...

September 22, 2009 | One would hate to be seen batting for any...

August 18, 2009 | Thank you for your comments! I also believe...

February 8, 2008 | Dear Ms. Alizadeh, yes, of course Chinese...

February 6, 2008 | Two of your main arguments find my full...

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